Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in New York’s 20th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries a D+8 Partisan Voter Index and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both party primaries were canceled, leaving the general-election matchup in place with no reported shifts in candidate positioning or district boundaries. Trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments. Late national political realignments, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or turnout anomalies in this upstate New York district remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,910 거래량
$26,910 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
7%
$26,910 거래량
$26,910 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,062 거래량
92%
공화당
$12,848 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in New York’s 20th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries a D+8 Partisan Voter Index and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both party primaries were canceled, leaving the general-election matchup in place with no reported shifts in candidate positioning or district boundaries. Trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments. Late national political realignments, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or turnout anomalies in this upstate New York district remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$26,910종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in New York’s 20th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries a D+8 Partisan Voter Index and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both party primaries were canceled, leaving the general-election matchup in place with no reported shifts in candidate positioning or district boundaries. Trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments. Late national political realignments, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or turnout anomalies in this upstate New York district remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,910종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in New York’s 20th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries a D+8 Partisan Voter Index and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both party primaries were canceled, leaving the general-election matchup in place with no reported shifts in candidate positioning or district boundaries. Trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments. Late national political realignments, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or turnout anomalies in this upstate New York district remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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