The heavily Democratic composition of New Jersey’s 10th congressional district, with strong voter registration advantages and consistent past results favoring the party, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in Democratic odds near 94 percent. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured renomination in the June 2 primary by a wide margin and faces only limited Republican opposition in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, consistent with the district’s structural profile. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include a major unforeseen controversy, health development, or substantial national political shift capable of driving unusually high Republican turnout in this low-competition environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,906 거래량
$23,906 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
7%
$23,906 거래량
$23,906 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,695 거래량
94%
공화당
$10,210 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New Jersey’s 10th congressional district, with strong voter registration advantages and consistent past results favoring the party, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in Democratic odds near 94 percent. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured renomination in the June 2 primary by a wide margin and faces only limited Republican opposition in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, consistent with the district’s structural profile. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include a major unforeseen controversy, health development, or substantial national political shift capable of driving unusually high Republican turnout in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$23,906종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New Jersey’s 10th congressional district, with strong voter registration advantages and consistent past results favoring the party, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in Democratic odds near 94 percent. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured renomination in the June 2 primary by a wide margin and faces only limited Republican opposition in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, consistent with the district’s structural profile. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include a major unforeseen controversy, health development, or substantial national political shift capable of driving unusually high Republican turnout in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,906종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of New Jersey’s 10th congressional district, with strong voter registration advantages and consistent past results favoring the party, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in Democratic odds near 94 percent. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured renomination in the June 2 primary by a wide margin and faces only limited Republican opposition in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, consistent with the district’s structural profile. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include a major unforeseen controversy, health development, or substantial national political shift capable of driving unusually high Republican turnout in this low-competition environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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