The California 39th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mark Takano advanced from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican Steve Manos in a district covering western Riverside County, where registration and recent voting patterns have consistently supported Democratic candidates. This positioning aligns with historical results and the absence of major shifts in the past month. A significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$37,265 거래량
$37,265 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
91%
공화당
6%
$37,265 거래량
$37,265 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$26,631 거래량
91%
공화당
$10,635 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The California 39th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mark Takano advanced from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican Steve Manos in a district covering western Riverside County, where registration and recent voting patterns have consistently supported Democratic candidates. This positioning aligns with historical results and the absence of major shifts in the past month. A significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$37,265종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The California 39th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mark Takano advanced from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican Steve Manos in a district covering western Riverside County, where registration and recent voting patterns have consistently supported Democratic candidates. This positioning aligns with historical results and the absence of major shifts in the past month. A significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$37,265종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The California 39th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mark Takano advanced from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican Steve Manos in a district covering western Riverside County, where registration and recent voting patterns have consistently supported Democratic candidates. This positioning aligns with historical results and the absence of major shifts in the past month. A significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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