Incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell (D) holds a commanding position in Alabama's 7th Congressional District, a Black-majority seat she has represented since 2011, with trader consensus implying a 93% probability of Democratic victory reflecting no Republican candidates qualifying by the January 23, 2026, filing deadline, canceling the GOP primary scheduled for May 19. This structural advantage in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report underscores historical incumbency strength and overwhelming Democratic registration, leaving Republicans without a ballot presence ahead of the November 3 general election. While write-in efforts or unforeseen scandals could theoretically challenge this, such outcomes remain highly improbable given procedural barriers and lack of organized opposition.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,179 거래량
$10,179 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
6%
$10,179 거래량
$10,179 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$9,050 거래량
93%
공화당
$1,129 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell (D) holds a commanding position in Alabama's 7th Congressional District, a Black-majority seat she has represented since 2011, with trader consensus implying a 93% probability of Democratic victory reflecting no Republican candidates qualifying by the January 23, 2026, filing deadline, canceling the GOP primary scheduled for May 19. This structural advantage in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report underscores historical incumbency strength and overwhelming Democratic registration, leaving Republicans without a ballot presence ahead of the November 3 general election. While write-in efforts or unforeseen scandals could theoretically challenge this, such outcomes remain highly improbable given procedural barriers and lack of organized opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$10,179종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell (D) holds a commanding position in Alabama's 7th Congressional District, a Black-majority seat she has represented since 2011, with trader consensus implying a 93% probability of Democratic victory reflecting no Republican candidates qualifying by the January 23, 2026, filing deadline, canceling the GOP primary scheduled for May 19. This structural advantage in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report underscores historical incumbency strength and overwhelming Democratic registration, leaving Republicans without a ballot presence ahead of the November 3 general election. While write-in efforts or unforeseen scandals could theoretically challenge this, such outcomes remain highly improbable given procedural barriers and lack of organized opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,179종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell (D) holds a commanding position in Alabama's 7th Congressional District, a Black-majority seat she has represented since 2011, with trader consensus implying a 93% probability of Democratic victory reflecting no Republican candidates qualifying by the January 23, 2026, filing deadline, canceling the GOP primary scheduled for May 19. This structural advantage in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report underscores historical incumbency strength and overwhelming Democratic registration, leaving Republicans without a ballot presence ahead of the November 3 general election. While write-in efforts or unforeseen scandals could theoretically challenge this, such outcomes remain highly improbable given procedural barriers and lack of organized opposition.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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