The heavily Democratic lean of California's 37th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+33, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Recent top-two primary results on June 2 advanced incumbent Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, with no Republican candidate reaching the general ballot. This outcome aligns with historical voting patterns, strong Democratic registration advantages in Los Angeles County portions of the district, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. While a Democratic hold remains the clear frontrunner, low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant turnout anomalies that alter the final certified results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-37 House Election Winner
CA-37 House Election Winner
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
4%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$1,944 거래량
97%
Republican Party
$1,265 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of California's 37th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+33, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Recent top-two primary results on June 2 advanced incumbent Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, with no Republican candidate reaching the general ballot. This outcome aligns with historical voting patterns, strong Democratic registration advantages in Los Angeles County portions of the district, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. While a Democratic hold remains the clear frontrunner, low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant turnout anomalies that alter the final certified results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$3,209종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of California's 37th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+33, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Recent top-two primary results on June 2 advanced incumbent Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, with no Republican candidate reaching the general ballot. This outcome aligns with historical voting patterns, strong Democratic registration advantages in Los Angeles County portions of the district, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. While a Democratic hold remains the clear frontrunner, low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant turnout anomalies that alter the final certified results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,209종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of California's 37th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+33, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Recent top-two primary results on June 2 advanced incumbent Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, with no Republican candidate reaching the general ballot. This outcome aligns with historical voting patterns, strong Democratic registration advantages in Los Angeles County portions of the district, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. While a Democratic hold remains the clear frontrunner, low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant turnout anomalies that alter the final certified results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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