Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jaunā Vienotība (JV) as a narrow favorite at 29% to win the most seats in Latvia's October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation, closely trailed by populist Latvia First (LPV) at 25% and National Alliance (NA) at 19%, reflecting high uncertainty with over 25% undecided voters in recent polls. Early April Gemius and SKDS surveys show LPV leading votes at 14-15%, Progressives (PRO) near 14%, and JV around 10%, fueled by public dissatisfaction with the JV-led coalition's economic handling, rising costs, and scandals like former PM Kariņš' flights. Incumbency advantages and polling volatility sustain JV's edge, while LPV's anti-establishment surge keeps the race tight; separation could come from undecided shifts, campaign gaffes, or economic data ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트JV 35%
LPV 25%
NA 17%
PRO 12.4%
$59,337 거래량
$59,337 거래량
2026.10.03
JV
35%
LPV
25%
NA
17%
PRO
10%
AS
4%
ZZS
10%
S
2%
SV
1%
ST!
1%
JV 35%
LPV 25%
NA 17%
PRO 12.4%
$59,337 거래량
$59,337 거래량
2026.10.03
JV
$4,047 거래량
35%
LPV
$1,563 거래량
25%
NA
$1,729 거래량
17%
PRO
$798 거래량
10%
AS
$827 거래량
4%
ZZS
$48,212 거래량
10%
S
$556 거래량
2%
SV
$985 거래량
1%
ST!
$621 거래량
1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jaunā Vienotība (JV) as a narrow favorite at 29% to win the most seats in Latvia's October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation, closely trailed by populist Latvia First (LPV) at 25% and National Alliance (NA) at 19%, reflecting high uncertainty with over 25% undecided voters in recent polls. Early April Gemius and SKDS surveys show LPV leading votes at 14-15%, Progressives (PRO) near 14%, and JV around 10%, fueled by public dissatisfaction with the JV-led coalition's economic handling, rising costs, and scandals like former PM Kariņš' flights. Incumbency advantages and polling volatility sustain JV's edge, while LPV's anti-establishment surge keeps the race tight; separation could come from undecided shifts, campaign gaffes, or economic data ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
거래량
$59,337종료일
2026.10.03마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jaunā Vienotība (JV) as a narrow favorite at 29% to win the most seats in Latvia's October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation, closely trailed by populist Latvia First (LPV) at 25% and National Alliance (NA) at 19%, reflecting high uncertainty with over 25% undecided voters in recent polls. Early April Gemius and SKDS surveys show LPV leading votes at 14-15%, Progressives (PRO) near 14%, and JV around 10%, fueled by public dissatisfaction with the JV-led coalition's economic handling, rising costs, and scandals like former PM Kariņš' flights. Incumbency advantages and polling volatility sustain JV's edge, while LPV's anti-establishment surge keeps the race tight; separation could come from undecided shifts, campaign gaffes, or economic data ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
거래량
$59,337종료일
2026.10.03마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jaunā Vienotība (JV) as a narrow favorite at 29% to win the most seats in Latvia's October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation, closely trailed by populist Latvia First (LPV) at 25% and National Alliance (NA) at 19%, reflecting high uncertainty with over 25% undecided voters in recent polls. Early April Gemius and SKDS surveys show LPV leading votes at 14-15%, Progressives (PRO) near 14%, and JV around 10%, fueled by public dissatisfaction with the JV-led coalition's economic handling, rising costs, and scandals like former PM Kariņš' flights. Incumbency advantages and polling volatility sustain JV's edge, while LPV's anti-establishment surge keeps the race tight; separation could come from undecided shifts, campaign gaffes, or economic data ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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