Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) as the leading force in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl scheduled for September 6, 2026, driven by consistent opinion polls showing AfD at 38-40% support—far ahead of CDU at 25-27%—as in the latest INSA survey from late March. This double-digit gap reflects sustained voter shifts in eastern Germany amid economic stagnation and immigration debates, with no recent CDU gains under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected in January. Die Linke has edged up to 13%, but smaller parties like SPD, BSW, FDP, and Greens poll below 10%, reinforcing AfD's projected 36 seats in the 87-seat parliament under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. While coalition math post-election remains fluid, current pricing implies low risk of an upset barring major late developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트AfD 87%
CDU 9.1%
BSW 1.0%
FDP 1.0%
$672,242 거래량
$672,242 거래량

AfD
87%

CDU
9%

BSW
1%

FDP
1%

좌파
1%

SPD
1%

녹색당
<1%
AfD 87%
CDU 9.1%
BSW 1.0%
FDP 1.0%
$672,242 거래량
$672,242 거래량

AfD
87%

CDU
9%

BSW
1%

FDP
1%

좌파
1%

SPD
1%

녹색당
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) as the leading force in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl scheduled for September 6, 2026, driven by consistent opinion polls showing AfD at 38-40% support—far ahead of CDU at 25-27%—as in the latest INSA survey from late March. This double-digit gap reflects sustained voter shifts in eastern Germany amid economic stagnation and immigration debates, with no recent CDU gains under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected in January. Die Linke has edged up to 13%, but smaller parties like SPD, BSW, FDP, and Greens poll below 10%, reinforcing AfD's projected 36 seats in the 87-seat parliament under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. While coalition math post-election remains fluid, current pricing implies low risk of an upset barring major late developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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