Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340 or more State Duma seats as most likely, with 355+ (30%) edging 340–354 (28.5%), reflecting uncertainty in the hybrid electoral system of 225 proportional party list seats and 225 single-mandate districts ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, vote. Recent party leadership statements from March, including targets of 55% list vote and 195 district wins but warnings of challenges in up to 30 regions like the "Red Belt" (e.g., Novosibirsk, Ulyanovsk) and Far East, have kept the race tight amid war fatigue signals in polls averaging United Russia at 44%. Primaries featuring war veterans signal mobilization efforts, while stronger Ukraine battlefield gains or economic relief could push toward supermajority; opposition gains or low turnout might cap below 340.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트355+ 30%
340–354 29%
325–339 15%
310–324 14.2%
$10,091 거래량
$10,091 거래량
2026.09.20
<280
3%
280–294
2%
295–309
12%
310–324
14%
325–339
15%
340–354
29%
355+
30%
355+ 30%
340–354 29%
325–339 15%
310–324 14.2%
$10,091 거래량
$10,091 거래량
2026.09.20
<280
$567 거래량
3%
280–294
$616 거래량
2%
295–309
$930 거래량
12%
310–324
$572 거래량
14%
325–339
$395 거래량
15%
340–354
$451 거래량
29%
355+
$6,561 거래량
30%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340 or more State Duma seats as most likely, with 355+ (30%) edging 340–354 (28.5%), reflecting uncertainty in the hybrid electoral system of 225 proportional party list seats and 225 single-mandate districts ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, vote. Recent party leadership statements from March, including targets of 55% list vote and 195 district wins but warnings of challenges in up to 30 regions like the "Red Belt" (e.g., Novosibirsk, Ulyanovsk) and Far East, have kept the race tight amid war fatigue signals in polls averaging United Russia at 44%. Primaries featuring war veterans signal mobilization efforts, while stronger Ukraine battlefield gains or economic relief could push toward supermajority; opposition gains or low turnout might cap below 340.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
마켓 개설일: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
거래량
$10,091종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340 or more State Duma seats as most likely, with 355+ (30%) edging 340–354 (28.5%), reflecting uncertainty in the hybrid electoral system of 225 proportional party list seats and 225 single-mandate districts ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, vote. Recent party leadership statements from March, including targets of 55% list vote and 195 district wins but warnings of challenges in up to 30 regions like the "Red Belt" (e.g., Novosibirsk, Ulyanovsk) and Far East, have kept the race tight amid war fatigue signals in polls averaging United Russia at 44%. Primaries featuring war veterans signal mobilization efforts, while stronger Ukraine battlefield gains or economic relief could push toward supermajority; opposition gains or low turnout might cap below 340.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
거래량
$10,091종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340 or more State Duma seats as most likely, with 355+ (30%) edging 340–354 (28.5%), reflecting uncertainty in the hybrid electoral system of 225 proportional party list seats and 225 single-mandate districts ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, vote. Recent party leadership statements from March, including targets of 55% list vote and 195 district wins but warnings of challenges in up to 30 regions like the "Red Belt" (e.g., Novosibirsk, Ulyanovsk) and Far East, have kept the race tight amid war fatigue signals in polls averaging United Russia at 44%. Primaries featuring war veterans signal mobilization efforts, while stronger Ukraine battlefield gains or economic relief could push toward supermajority; opposition gains or low turnout might cap below 340.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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