The open Iowa 2nd Congressional District seat, following Rep. Ashley Hinson's departure for a U.S. Senate bid, has boosted Democratic prospects in this battleground encompassing Iowa City and Cedar Rapids, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 55.5% implied probability versus Republicans at 37%. Recent April 17 fundraising reports highlight Democrats' financial edges in key Iowa House races, amid former state Rep. Joe Mitchell's frontrunner status in the GOP primary with national "MAGA Majority" backing. No public polls exist ahead of June 2 primaries, leaving odds sensitive to nominee strength, midterm turnout dynamics favoring the opposition party, and local swing voter priorities in this historically competitive district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
37%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$339 거래량
56%
Republican Party
$225 거래량
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Iowa 2nd Congressional District seat, following Rep. Ashley Hinson's departure for a U.S. Senate bid, has boosted Democratic prospects in this battleground encompassing Iowa City and Cedar Rapids, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 55.5% implied probability versus Republicans at 37%. Recent April 17 fundraising reports highlight Democrats' financial edges in key Iowa House races, amid former state Rep. Joe Mitchell's frontrunner status in the GOP primary with national "MAGA Majority" backing. No public polls exist ahead of June 2 primaries, leaving odds sensitive to nominee strength, midterm turnout dynamics favoring the opposition party, and local swing voter priorities in this historically competitive district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$564종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Iowa 2nd Congressional District seat, following Rep. Ashley Hinson's departure for a U.S. Senate bid, has boosted Democratic prospects in this battleground encompassing Iowa City and Cedar Rapids, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 55.5% implied probability versus Republicans at 37%. Recent April 17 fundraising reports highlight Democrats' financial edges in key Iowa House races, amid former state Rep. Joe Mitchell's frontrunner status in the GOP primary with national "MAGA Majority" backing. No public polls exist ahead of June 2 primaries, leaving odds sensitive to nominee strength, midterm turnout dynamics favoring the opposition party, and local swing voter priorities in this historically competitive district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$564종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Iowa 2nd Congressional District seat, following Rep. Ashley Hinson's departure for a U.S. Senate bid, has boosted Democratic prospects in this battleground encompassing Iowa City and Cedar Rapids, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 55.5% implied probability versus Republicans at 37%. Recent April 17 fundraising reports highlight Democrats' financial edges in key Iowa House races, amid former state Rep. Joe Mitchell's frontrunner status in the GOP primary with national "MAGA Majority" backing. No public polls exist ahead of June 2 primaries, leaving odds sensitive to nominee strength, midterm turnout dynamics favoring the opposition party, and local swing voter priorities in this historically competitive district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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