The open seat in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, has produced a closely matched general-election matchup after the June 2 primaries. Democratic state Rep. Lindsay James secured her party’s nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Trump-backed former state Rep. Joe Mitchell won the Republican primary with about 61 percent. The district’s modest Republican lean and recent narrow statewide and local results have kept trader-implied probabilities near even, as neither nominee has yet established a clear advantage in fundraising, endorsements, or early polling. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate debates, national party spending decisions, and any shifts in Iowa’s broader political environment ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
51%
Democratic Party
51%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,131 거래량
51%
Democratic Party
$2,207 거래량
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, has produced a closely matched general-election matchup after the June 2 primaries. Democratic state Rep. Lindsay James secured her party’s nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Trump-backed former state Rep. Joe Mitchell won the Republican primary with about 61 percent. The district’s modest Republican lean and recent narrow statewide and local results have kept trader-implied probabilities near even, as neither nominee has yet established a clear advantage in fundraising, endorsements, or early polling. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate debates, national party spending decisions, and any shifts in Iowa’s broader political environment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$3,338종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, has produced a closely matched general-election matchup after the June 2 primaries. Democratic state Rep. Lindsay James secured her party’s nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Trump-backed former state Rep. Joe Mitchell won the Republican primary with about 61 percent. The district’s modest Republican lean and recent narrow statewide and local results have kept trader-implied probabilities near even, as neither nominee has yet established a clear advantage in fundraising, endorsements, or early polling. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate debates, national party spending decisions, and any shifts in Iowa’s broader political environment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,338종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, has produced a closely matched general-election matchup after the June 2 primaries. Democratic state Rep. Lindsay James secured her party’s nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Trump-backed former state Rep. Joe Mitchell won the Republican primary with about 61 percent. The district’s modest Republican lean and recent narrow statewide and local results have kept trader-implied probabilities near even, as neither nominee has yet established a clear advantage in fundraising, endorsements, or early polling. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate debates, national party spending decisions, and any shifts in Iowa’s broader political environment ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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