Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote in Georgia's 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Caitlyn Gegen in the November general election. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+17, combined with Clyde's 69% margin in 2024 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for a GOP victory. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors rather than short-term polling shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,487 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$463 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote in Georgia's 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Caitlyn Gegen in the November general election. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+17, combined with Clyde's 69% margin in 2024 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for a GOP victory. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors rather than short-term polling shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$6,950종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote in Georgia's 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Caitlyn Gegen in the November general election. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+17, combined with Clyde's 69% margin in 2024 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for a GOP victory. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors rather than short-term polling shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,950종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote in Georgia's 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Caitlyn Gegen in the November general election. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+17, combined with Clyde's 69% margin in 2024 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for a GOP victory. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors rather than short-term polling shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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