Louisiana’s 6th congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields seeking re-election amid ongoing redistricting driven by a U.S. Supreme Court ruling against the prior map. Republican state lawmakers have advanced legislation that would redraw boundaries to eliminate the current majority-Black configuration, shifting the district toward a more competitive or Republican-leaning profile ahead of the November 3, 2026 primary and December general election. With Republicans controlling the legislature and governor’s office, these map changes represent the central catalyst elevating the Republican Party’s implied probability to 83 percent in trader assessments. Multiple Republican candidates have already qualified, while Democratic options remain limited to the incumbent. The filing deadline approaches in August, and final map approval could further clarify the seat’s trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$58,169 거래량
$58,169 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
$58,169 거래량
$58,169 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$31,586 거래량
85%
Democratic Party
$26,583 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 6th congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields seeking re-election amid ongoing redistricting driven by a U.S. Supreme Court ruling against the prior map. Republican state lawmakers have advanced legislation that would redraw boundaries to eliminate the current majority-Black configuration, shifting the district toward a more competitive or Republican-leaning profile ahead of the November 3, 2026 primary and December general election. With Republicans controlling the legislature and governor’s office, these map changes represent the central catalyst elevating the Republican Party’s implied probability to 83 percent in trader assessments. Multiple Republican candidates have already qualified, while Democratic options remain limited to the incumbent. The filing deadline approaches in August, and final map approval could further clarify the seat’s trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$58,169종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 6th congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields seeking re-election amid ongoing redistricting driven by a U.S. Supreme Court ruling against the prior map. Republican state lawmakers have advanced legislation that would redraw boundaries to eliminate the current majority-Black configuration, shifting the district toward a more competitive or Republican-leaning profile ahead of the November 3, 2026 primary and December general election. With Republicans controlling the legislature and governor’s office, these map changes represent the central catalyst elevating the Republican Party’s implied probability to 83 percent in trader assessments. Multiple Republican candidates have already qualified, while Democratic options remain limited to the incumbent. The filing deadline approaches in August, and final map approval could further clarify the seat’s trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$58,169종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 6th congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields seeking re-election amid ongoing redistricting driven by a U.S. Supreme Court ruling against the prior map. Republican state lawmakers have advanced legislation that would redraw boundaries to eliminate the current majority-Black configuration, shifting the district toward a more competitive or Republican-leaning profile ahead of the November 3, 2026 primary and December general election. With Republicans controlling the legislature and governor’s office, these map changes represent the central catalyst elevating the Republican Party’s implied probability to 83 percent in trader assessments. Multiple Republican candidates have already qualified, while Democratic options remain limited to the incumbent. The filing deadline approaches in August, and final map approval could further clarify the seat’s trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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