Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the May 16 closed primary, advancing directly to the November 3 general election against the winner of a crowded Republican primary featuring Monique Appeaning—recently endorsed by the state GOP on April 6—alongside Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams. The district's D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting 57% Democratic support in the 2024 presidential race, underpins forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 91% implies low risk of a flip, bolstered by Fields' 2024 outright primary win at 51%. Potential challenges include a strong GOP nominee consolidation, scandal impacting Fields, or favorable midterm turnout dynamics for Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
91%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the May 16 closed primary, advancing directly to the November 3 general election against the winner of a crowded Republican primary featuring Monique Appeaning—recently endorsed by the state GOP on April 6—alongside Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams. The district's D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting 57% Democratic support in the 2024 presidential race, underpins forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 91% implies low risk of a flip, bolstered by Fields' 2024 outright primary win at 51%. Potential challenges include a strong GOP nominee consolidation, scandal impacting Fields, or favorable midterm turnout dynamics for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the May 16 closed primary, advancing directly to the November 3 general election against the winner of a crowded Republican primary featuring Monique Appeaning—recently endorsed by the state GOP on April 6—alongside Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams. The district's D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting 57% Democratic support in the 2024 presidential race, underpins forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 91% implies low risk of a flip, bolstered by Fields' 2024 outright primary win at 51%. Potential challenges include a strong GOP nominee consolidation, scandal impacting Fields, or favorable midterm turnout dynamics for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the May 16 closed primary, advancing directly to the November 3 general election against the winner of a crowded Republican primary featuring Monique Appeaning—recently endorsed by the state GOP on April 6—alongside Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams. The district's D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting 57% Democratic support in the 2024 presidential race, underpins forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 91% implies low risk of a flip, bolstered by Fields' 2024 outright primary win at 51%. Potential challenges include a strong GOP nominee consolidation, scandal impacting Fields, or favorable midterm turnout dynamics for Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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