Tennessee's 5th congressional district was redrawn in May 2026, removing heavily Democratic Nashville and shifting the map toward a stronger Republican tilt, which boosted incumbent Andy Ogles' position ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voting index and limited Democratic path to victory even with a crowded primary field that includes Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Ogles faces Republican challengers such as former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, but the district's overall composition favors the GOP nominee. Democratic candidates remain active in fundraising and organization, yet face structural headwinds from the new boundaries and the state's broader electoral trends. Trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals, with some room for movement tied to primary results or late-cycle developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,661 거래량
$28,661 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
76%
민주당
22%
$28,661 거래량
$28,661 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$13,550 거래량
76%
민주당
$15,111 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 5th congressional district was redrawn in May 2026, removing heavily Democratic Nashville and shifting the map toward a stronger Republican tilt, which boosted incumbent Andy Ogles' position ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voting index and limited Democratic path to victory even with a crowded primary field that includes Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Ogles faces Republican challengers such as former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, but the district's overall composition favors the GOP nominee. Democratic candidates remain active in fundraising and organization, yet face structural headwinds from the new boundaries and the state's broader electoral trends. Trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals, with some room for movement tied to primary results or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$28,661종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 5th congressional district was redrawn in May 2026, removing heavily Democratic Nashville and shifting the map toward a stronger Republican tilt, which boosted incumbent Andy Ogles' position ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voting index and limited Democratic path to victory even with a crowded primary field that includes Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Ogles faces Republican challengers such as former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, but the district's overall composition favors the GOP nominee. Democratic candidates remain active in fundraising and organization, yet face structural headwinds from the new boundaries and the state's broader electoral trends. Trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals, with some room for movement tied to primary results or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,661종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 5th congressional district was redrawn in May 2026, removing heavily Democratic Nashville and shifting the map toward a stronger Republican tilt, which boosted incumbent Andy Ogles' position ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voting index and limited Democratic path to victory even with a crowded primary field that includes Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Ogles faces Republican challengers such as former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, but the district's overall composition favors the GOP nominee. Democratic candidates remain active in fundraising and organization, yet face structural headwinds from the new boundaries and the state's broader electoral trends. Trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals, with some room for movement tied to primary results or late-cycle developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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