California's 14th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where state Sen. Aisha Wahab led a crowded field of Democratic candidates while Republican contenders lagged well behind. The district's voter registration heavily favors Democrats, consistent with its Bay Area location and prior representation by Eric Swalwell. Recent primary results and nonpartisan race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball confirm the limited path for Republican advancement in the November general election. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals or turnout shifts could still influence the final outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,319 거래량
$29,319 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
5%
$29,319 거래량
$29,319 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$10,958 거래량
96%
공화당
$18,361 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where state Sen. Aisha Wahab led a crowded field of Democratic candidates while Republican contenders lagged well behind. The district's voter registration heavily favors Democrats, consistent with its Bay Area location and prior representation by Eric Swalwell. Recent primary results and nonpartisan race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball confirm the limited path for Republican advancement in the November general election. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals or turnout shifts could still influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
거래량
$29,319종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where state Sen. Aisha Wahab led a crowded field of Democratic candidates while Republican contenders lagged well behind. The district's voter registration heavily favors Democrats, consistent with its Bay Area location and prior representation by Eric Swalwell. Recent primary results and nonpartisan race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball confirm the limited path for Republican advancement in the November general election. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals or turnout shifts could still influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$29,319종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where state Sen. Aisha Wahab led a crowded field of Democratic candidates while Republican contenders lagged well behind. The district's voter registration heavily favors Democrats, consistent with its Bay Area location and prior representation by Eric Swalwell. Recent primary results and nonpartisan race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball confirm the limited path for Republican advancement in the November general election. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals or turnout shifts could still influence the final outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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