The Illinois 9th congressional district's entrenched Democratic voting patterns and history of strong performance in federal elections underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring, Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field, backed by substantial fundraising and establishment support. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural challenges in this northern Chicago and suburban district, including limited resources and the party's weaker baseline performance in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by national political conditions, candidate-specific developments, or unexpected turnout changes that could narrow the margin in this otherwise secure seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,863 거래량
$21,863 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$21,863 거래량
$21,863 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$15,361 거래량
95%
공화당
$6,502 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's entrenched Democratic voting patterns and history of strong performance in federal elections underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring, Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field, backed by substantial fundraising and establishment support. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural challenges in this northern Chicago and suburban district, including limited resources and the party's weaker baseline performance in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by national political conditions, candidate-specific developments, or unexpected turnout changes that could narrow the margin in this otherwise secure seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$21,863종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's entrenched Democratic voting patterns and history of strong performance in federal elections underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring, Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field, backed by substantial fundraising and establishment support. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural challenges in this northern Chicago and suburban district, including limited resources and the party's weaker baseline performance in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by national political conditions, candidate-specific developments, or unexpected turnout changes that could narrow the margin in this otherwise secure seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,863종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district's entrenched Democratic voting patterns and history of strong performance in federal elections underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring, Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field, backed by substantial fundraising and establishment support. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural challenges in this northern Chicago and suburban district, including limited resources and the party's weaker baseline performance in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by national political conditions, candidate-specific developments, or unexpected turnout changes that could narrow the margin in this otherwise secure seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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