Minnesota's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 70.5 percent margin in 2024. Republican Michelle Fischbach, first elected in 2020, secured her party's endorsement in April 2026 and faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican, with Democrats still early in candidate recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 90 percent aligns with these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in rural western Minnesota. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$832 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$5,317 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 70.5 percent margin in 2024. Republican Michelle Fischbach, first elected in 2020, secured her party's endorsement in April 2026 and faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican, with Democrats still early in candidate recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 90 percent aligns with these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in rural western Minnesota. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$6,149종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 70.5 percent margin in 2024. Republican Michelle Fischbach, first elected in 2020, secured her party's endorsement in April 2026 and faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican, with Democrats still early in candidate recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 90 percent aligns with these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in rural western Minnesota. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,149종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 70.5 percent margin in 2024. Republican Michelle Fischbach, first elected in 2020, secured her party's endorsement in April 2026 and faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican, with Democrats still early in candidate recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 90 percent aligns with these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in rural western Minnesota. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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