New York’s 14th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has produced Democratic general-election margins above 69 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only nominal Republican opposition from Diamant Hysenaj while entering the June 23 Democratic primary as the prohibitive favorite over challengers Marty Dolan and Felipe Garcia. The district’s urban Bronx-Queens electorate, combined with the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition, has yielded consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. A Republican victory would require either an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Democratic nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome the district’s structural partisan advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$41,424 거래량
$41,424 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$41,424 거래량
$41,424 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$28,262 거래량
94%
공화당
$13,162 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has produced Democratic general-election margins above 69 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only nominal Republican opposition from Diamant Hysenaj while entering the June 23 Democratic primary as the prohibitive favorite over challengers Marty Dolan and Felipe Garcia. The district’s urban Bronx-Queens electorate, combined with the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition, has yielded consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. A Republican victory would require either an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Democratic nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome the district’s structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$41,424종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has produced Democratic general-election margins above 69 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only nominal Republican opposition from Diamant Hysenaj while entering the June 23 Democratic primary as the prohibitive favorite over challengers Marty Dolan and Felipe Garcia. The district’s urban Bronx-Queens electorate, combined with the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition, has yielded consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. A Republican victory would require either an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Democratic nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome the district’s structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$41,424종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 14th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has produced Democratic general-election margins above 69 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only nominal Republican opposition from Diamant Hysenaj while entering the June 23 Democratic primary as the prohibitive favorite over challengers Marty Dolan and Felipe Garcia. The district’s urban Bronx-Queens electorate, combined with the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition, has yielded consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. A Republican victory would require either an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Democratic nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome the district’s structural partisan advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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