The Massachusetts Ninth Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Keating, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 by a double-digit margin, faces a Republican primary featuring Tyler MacAllister but benefits from the district’s partisan voting history across Cape Cod, the South Shore, and South Coast areas. With primaries scheduled for September 1 and the general election on November 3, 2026, limited fundraising or polling shifts have emerged to date. A national partisan realignment or significant primary surprise could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the Democratic outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$4,198 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$4,241 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts Ninth Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Keating, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 by a double-digit margin, faces a Republican primary featuring Tyler MacAllister but benefits from the district’s partisan voting history across Cape Cod, the South Shore, and South Coast areas. With primaries scheduled for September 1 and the general election on November 3, 2026, limited fundraising or polling shifts have emerged to date. A national partisan realignment or significant primary surprise could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$8,439종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts Ninth Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Keating, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 by a double-digit margin, faces a Republican primary featuring Tyler MacAllister but benefits from the district’s partisan voting history across Cape Cod, the South Shore, and South Coast areas. With primaries scheduled for September 1 and the general election on November 3, 2026, limited fundraising or polling shifts have emerged to date. A national partisan realignment or significant primary surprise could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,439종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts Ninth Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Keating, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 by a double-digit margin, faces a Republican primary featuring Tyler MacAllister but benefits from the district’s partisan voting history across Cape Cod, the South Shore, and South Coast areas. With primaries scheduled for September 1 and the general election on November 3, 2026, limited fundraising or polling shifts have emerged to date. A national partisan realignment or significant primary surprise could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the Democratic outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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