Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the top spot in California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 46th congressional district, advancing alongside Republican David Pan to the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Correa's established incumbency and the limited Republican infrastructure in this Orange County seat further reinforce trader consensus around a comfortable hold. While a significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before November, current structural factors and primary results leave little room for Republican upset in the view of market participants.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,244 거래량
$13,244 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,244 거래량
$13,244 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$4,433 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$8,811 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the top spot in California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 46th congressional district, advancing alongside Republican David Pan to the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Correa's established incumbency and the limited Republican infrastructure in this Orange County seat further reinforce trader consensus around a comfortable hold. While a significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before November, current structural factors and primary results leave little room for Republican upset in the view of market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$13,244종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the top spot in California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 46th congressional district, advancing alongside Republican David Pan to the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Correa's established incumbency and the limited Republican infrastructure in this Orange County seat further reinforce trader consensus around a comfortable hold. While a significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before November, current structural factors and primary results leave little room for Republican upset in the view of market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,244종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the top spot in California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 46th congressional district, advancing alongside Republican David Pan to the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Correa's established incumbency and the limited Republican infrastructure in this Orange County seat further reinforce trader consensus around a comfortable hold. While a significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before November, current structural factors and primary results leave little room for Republican upset in the view of market participants.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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