The heavily Democratic composition of Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 76 percent of the vote, and the district’s partisan voting index exceeds D+29. The August 4 Democratic primary between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush will determine the nominee, but either outcome preserves the party’s structural advantage against Republican candidates Paul Berry and Andrew Jones. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen map change could theoretically narrow the margin, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,821 거래량
$23,821 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
4%
$23,821 거래량
$23,821 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,672 거래량
94%
공화당
$10,149 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 76 percent of the vote, and the district’s partisan voting index exceeds D+29. The August 4 Democratic primary between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush will determine the nominee, but either outcome preserves the party’s structural advantage against Republican candidates Paul Berry and Andrew Jones. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen map change could theoretically narrow the margin, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$23,821종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 76 percent of the vote, and the district’s partisan voting index exceeds D+29. The August 4 Democratic primary between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush will determine the nominee, but either outcome preserves the party’s structural advantage against Republican candidates Paul Berry and Andrew Jones. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen map change could theoretically narrow the margin, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,821종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 76 percent of the vote, and the district’s partisan voting index exceeds D+29. The August 4 Democratic primary between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush will determine the nominee, but either outcome preserves the party’s structural advantage against Republican candidates Paul Berry and Andrew Jones. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen map change could theoretically narrow the margin, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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