Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree seeks a tenth term in Maine’s 1st Congressional District, a coastal and southern area anchored by Portland that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. She won reelection in 2024 with 58 percent amid minimal primary opposition and strong fundraising. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Republican challengers entering the June 9 primaries. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the limited upside for Republican primary contenders. A shift would require a major unforeseen event such as a candidate health crisis or late scandal capable of altering turnout in this reliably Democratic-leaning district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,062 거래량
$36,062 거래량
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$36,062 거래량
$36,062 거래량
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree seeks a tenth term in Maine’s 1st Congressional District, a coastal and southern area anchored by Portland that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. She won reelection in 2024 with 58 percent amid minimal primary opposition and strong fundraising. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Republican challengers entering the June 9 primaries. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the limited upside for Republican primary contenders. A shift would require a major unforeseen event such as a candidate health crisis or late scandal capable of altering turnout in this reliably Democratic-leaning district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문