Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Maine's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+11 partisan lean, her unchallenged tenure since 2009, and consistent general election margins above 58% in recent cycles including 2024. State Rep. Tiffany Roberts withdrew her Democratic primary challenge after failing to qualify for the June 9 ballot, clearing Pingree's nomination path against underfunded Republican primary contenders Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald C. Russell, who lost decisively to her previously. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic, national midterm dynamics would need an extraordinary Republican wave, Pingree scandal, or health issue to shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,600 거래량
$24,600 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
8%
$24,600 거래량
$24,600 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$21,093 거래량
92%
공화당
$3,507 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Maine's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+11 partisan lean, her unchallenged tenure since 2009, and consistent general election margins above 58% in recent cycles including 2024. State Rep. Tiffany Roberts withdrew her Democratic primary challenge after failing to qualify for the June 9 ballot, clearing Pingree's nomination path against underfunded Republican primary contenders Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald C. Russell, who lost decisively to her previously. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic, national midterm dynamics would need an extraordinary Republican wave, Pingree scandal, or health issue to shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$24,600종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Maine's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+11 partisan lean, her unchallenged tenure since 2009, and consistent general election margins above 58% in recent cycles including 2024. State Rep. Tiffany Roberts withdrew her Democratic primary challenge after failing to qualify for the June 9 ballot, clearing Pingree's nomination path against underfunded Republican primary contenders Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald C. Russell, who lost decisively to her previously. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic, national midterm dynamics would need an extraordinary Republican wave, Pingree scandal, or health issue to shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,600종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Maine's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+11 partisan lean, her unchallenged tenure since 2009, and consistent general election margins above 58% in recent cycles including 2024. State Rep. Tiffany Roberts withdrew her Democratic primary challenge after failing to qualify for the June 9 ballot, clearing Pingree's nomination path against underfunded Republican primary contenders Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald C. Russell, who lost decisively to her previously. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic, national midterm dynamics would need an extraordinary Republican wave, Pingree scandal, or health issue to shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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