Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon's 6th Congressional District House race, with trader consensus reflecting her unopposed Democratic primary path, substantial fundraising lead—over $500,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 versus challengers' negligible totals—and the district's D+4 to D+6 partisan lean per Cook PVI. Forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by Salinas's prior general election victories over Republican Mike Erickson by 7 and 3 points in 2024 and 2022. The Republican primary features underfunded David Russ, a prior primary loser, with filing deadlines confirming a weak opposition field. Odds could shift via a surprise GOP primary upset, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, scandal impacting Salinas, or late-cycle polling shifts ahead of the May 19 primary and November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,879 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$4,753 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon's 6th Congressional District House race, with trader consensus reflecting her unopposed Democratic primary path, substantial fundraising lead—over $500,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 versus challengers' negligible totals—and the district's D+4 to D+6 partisan lean per Cook PVI. Forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by Salinas's prior general election victories over Republican Mike Erickson by 7 and 3 points in 2024 and 2022. The Republican primary features underfunded David Russ, a prior primary loser, with filing deadlines confirming a weak opposition field. Odds could shift via a surprise GOP primary upset, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, scandal impacting Salinas, or late-cycle polling shifts ahead of the May 19 primary and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$7,632종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon's 6th Congressional District House race, with trader consensus reflecting her unopposed Democratic primary path, substantial fundraising lead—over $500,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 versus challengers' negligible totals—and the district's D+4 to D+6 partisan lean per Cook PVI. Forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by Salinas's prior general election victories over Republican Mike Erickson by 7 and 3 points in 2024 and 2022. The Republican primary features underfunded David Russ, a prior primary loser, with filing deadlines confirming a weak opposition field. Odds could shift via a surprise GOP primary upset, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, scandal impacting Salinas, or late-cycle polling shifts ahead of the May 19 primary and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,632종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon's 6th Congressional District House race, with trader consensus reflecting her unopposed Democratic primary path, substantial fundraising lead—over $500,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 versus challengers' negligible totals—and the district's D+4 to D+6 partisan lean per Cook PVI. Forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by Salinas's prior general election victories over Republican Mike Erickson by 7 and 3 points in 2024 and 2022. The Republican primary features underfunded David Russ, a prior primary loser, with filing deadlines confirming a weak opposition field. Odds could shift via a surprise GOP primary upset, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, scandal impacting Salinas, or late-cycle polling shifts ahead of the May 19 primary and November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문