Oregon's 6th congressional district maintains a clear Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 53.3% margin in the prior cycle. Andrea Salinas secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the May 19, 2026 primary, while Republican David Russ advanced from his party's contest. This structure, combined with the district's mix of Portland-area suburbs and Willamette Valley counties, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. A late national shift in voter sentiment, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or significant fundraising disparity could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to a Republican victory before the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,877 거래량
$16,877 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$16,877 거래량
$16,877 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,262 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$9,615 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 6th congressional district maintains a clear Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 53.3% margin in the prior cycle. Andrea Salinas secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the May 19, 2026 primary, while Republican David Russ advanced from his party's contest. This structure, combined with the district's mix of Portland-area suburbs and Willamette Valley counties, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. A late national shift in voter sentiment, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or significant fundraising disparity could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to a Republican victory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$16,877종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 6th congressional district maintains a clear Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 53.3% margin in the prior cycle. Andrea Salinas secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the May 19, 2026 primary, while Republican David Russ advanced from his party's contest. This structure, combined with the district's mix of Portland-area suburbs and Willamette Valley counties, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. A late national shift in voter sentiment, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or significant fundraising disparity could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to a Republican victory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,877종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 6th congressional district maintains a clear Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 53.3% margin in the prior cycle. Andrea Salinas secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the May 19, 2026 primary, while Republican David Russ advanced from his party's contest. This structure, combined with the district's mix of Portland-area suburbs and Willamette Valley counties, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. A late national shift in voter sentiment, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or significant fundraising disparity could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to a Republican victory before the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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