The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' bid for U.S. Senate, remains a Solid Democratic district per Cook Political Report ratings, with a D+9 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic general election margins above 50% since 2020—including 58% for Stevens in 2024. Superior Democratic fundraising, led by candidates like Jeremy Moss ($510K cash on hand) and Don Ufford ($356K), dwarfs Republican efforts amid a crowded primary field lacking standout GOP challengers. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 4 primaries, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. A Republican upset would require a national GOP wave, nominee scandal on the Democratic side, or unexpected voter turnout shifts in this Oakland County-based battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$39,329 거래량
$39,329 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$39,329 거래량
$39,329 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$35,974 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$4,529 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' bid for U.S. Senate, remains a Solid Democratic district per Cook Political Report ratings, with a D+9 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic general election margins above 50% since 2020—including 58% for Stevens in 2024. Superior Democratic fundraising, led by candidates like Jeremy Moss ($510K cash on hand) and Don Ufford ($356K), dwarfs Republican efforts amid a crowded primary field lacking standout GOP challengers. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 4 primaries, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. A Republican upset would require a national GOP wave, nominee scandal on the Democratic side, or unexpected voter turnout shifts in this Oakland County-based battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$39,329종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' bid for U.S. Senate, remains a Solid Democratic district per Cook Political Report ratings, with a D+9 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic general election margins above 50% since 2020—including 58% for Stevens in 2024. Superior Democratic fundraising, led by candidates like Jeremy Moss ($510K cash on hand) and Don Ufford ($356K), dwarfs Republican efforts amid a crowded primary field lacking standout GOP challengers. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 4 primaries, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. A Republican upset would require a national GOP wave, nominee scandal on the Democratic side, or unexpected voter turnout shifts in this Oakland County-based battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$39,329종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' bid for U.S. Senate, remains a Solid Democratic district per Cook Political Report ratings, with a D+9 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic general election margins above 50% since 2020—including 58% for Stevens in 2024. Superior Democratic fundraising, led by candidates like Jeremy Moss ($510K cash on hand) and Don Ufford ($356K), dwarfs Republican efforts amid a crowded primary field lacking standout GOP challengers. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 4 primaries, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. A Republican upset would require a national GOP wave, nominee scandal on the Democratic side, or unexpected voter turnout shifts in this Oakland County-based battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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