Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins advanced unopposed from the canceled party primary in February, securing the GOP nomination for Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 16 Democratic primary and November 3 general election. This Solid Republican seat, rated Safe R by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball with a partisan voting index around R+22, reflects Higgins' 71% 2024 win and strong fundraising—nearly $500,000 cash on hand versus negligible Democratic totals. Weak challengers John Day, Tia LeBrun, and Caleb Walker split the limited Democratic resources, driving trader consensus to 92% for Republicans. An upset would require Democratic primary consolidation, scandal engulfing Higgins, or a national midterm wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,169 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$3,433 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins advanced unopposed from the canceled party primary in February, securing the GOP nomination for Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 16 Democratic primary and November 3 general election. This Solid Republican seat, rated Safe R by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball with a partisan voting index around R+22, reflects Higgins' 71% 2024 win and strong fundraising—nearly $500,000 cash on hand versus negligible Democratic totals. Weak challengers John Day, Tia LeBrun, and Caleb Walker split the limited Democratic resources, driving trader consensus to 92% for Republicans. An upset would require Democratic primary consolidation, scandal engulfing Higgins, or a national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$5,602종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins advanced unopposed from the canceled party primary in February, securing the GOP nomination for Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 16 Democratic primary and November 3 general election. This Solid Republican seat, rated Safe R by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball with a partisan voting index around R+22, reflects Higgins' 71% 2024 win and strong fundraising—nearly $500,000 cash on hand versus negligible Democratic totals. Weak challengers John Day, Tia LeBrun, and Caleb Walker split the limited Democratic resources, driving trader consensus to 92% for Republicans. An upset would require Democratic primary consolidation, scandal engulfing Higgins, or a national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,602종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins advanced unopposed from the canceled party primary in February, securing the GOP nomination for Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 16 Democratic primary and November 3 general election. This Solid Republican seat, rated Safe R by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball with a partisan voting index around R+22, reflects Higgins' 71% 2024 win and strong fundraising—nearly $500,000 cash on hand versus negligible Democratic totals. Weak challengers John Day, Tia LeBrun, and Caleb Walker split the limited Democratic resources, driving trader consensus to 92% for Republicans. An upset would require Democratic primary consolidation, scandal engulfing Higgins, or a national midterm wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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