Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting that underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Mike Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Justin Wagner advanced similarly on the other side, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and Kelly's established incumbency. These structural factors, rather than any singular recent event, continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,513 거래량
$20,513 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
16%
$20,513 거래량
$20,513 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$10,391 거래량
81%
Democratic Party
$10,123 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting that underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Mike Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Justin Wagner advanced similarly on the other side, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and Kelly's established incumbency. These structural factors, rather than any singular recent event, continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$20,513종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting that underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Mike Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Justin Wagner advanced similarly on the other side, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and Kelly's established incumbency. These structural factors, rather than any singular recent event, continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,513종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting that underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Mike Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Justin Wagner advanced similarly on the other side, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and Kelly's established incumbency. These structural factors, rather than any singular recent event, continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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