Recent Public Policy Polling surveys, updated this week, show Democratic primary frontrunner Janelle Stelson leading incumbent Republican Scott Perry by 3-4 points in Pennsylvania's 10th District, fueling trader consensus on a Democratic general election win. Stelson, who narrowly lost to Perry by 1 point in 2024, relaunched her rematch bid with endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and early DCCC "Red to Blue" targeting, while rival Justin Douglas secured local nods amid their contrasting styles highlighted in recent debates over costs and electability. With the May 19 closed primary approaching and Republicans holding a slim 218-214 House majority, markets price in midterm headwinds for the president's party and Perry's vulnerability in this battleground swing district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
31%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$18 거래량
69%
Republican Party
$336 거래량
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Public Policy Polling surveys, updated this week, show Democratic primary frontrunner Janelle Stelson leading incumbent Republican Scott Perry by 3-4 points in Pennsylvania's 10th District, fueling trader consensus on a Democratic general election win. Stelson, who narrowly lost to Perry by 1 point in 2024, relaunched her rematch bid with endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and early DCCC "Red to Blue" targeting, while rival Justin Douglas secured local nods amid their contrasting styles highlighted in recent debates over costs and electability. With the May 19 closed primary approaching and Republicans holding a slim 218-214 House majority, markets price in midterm headwinds for the president's party and Perry's vulnerability in this battleground swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
거래량
$354종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Public Policy Polling surveys, updated this week, show Democratic primary frontrunner Janelle Stelson leading incumbent Republican Scott Perry by 3-4 points in Pennsylvania's 10th District, fueling trader consensus on a Democratic general election win. Stelson, who narrowly lost to Perry by 1 point in 2024, relaunched her rematch bid with endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and early DCCC "Red to Blue" targeting, while rival Justin Douglas secured local nods amid their contrasting styles highlighted in recent debates over costs and electability. With the May 19 closed primary approaching and Republicans holding a slim 218-214 House majority, markets price in midterm headwinds for the president's party and Perry's vulnerability in this battleground swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$354종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Public Policy Polling surveys, updated this week, show Democratic primary frontrunner Janelle Stelson leading incumbent Republican Scott Perry by 3-4 points in Pennsylvania's 10th District, fueling trader consensus on a Democratic general election win. Stelson, who narrowly lost to Perry by 1 point in 2024, relaunched her rematch bid with endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and early DCCC "Red to Blue" targeting, while rival Justin Douglas secured local nods amid their contrasting styles highlighted in recent debates over costs and electability. With the May 19 closed primary approaching and Republicans holding a slim 218-214 House majority, markets price in midterm headwinds for the president's party and Perry's vulnerability in this battleground swing district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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