The open seat created by Rep. Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate has produced a competitive Democratic primary, with Matt Little securing the DFL endorsement on the first ballot in May 2026. This has positioned Democrats as the consensus favorite in the November general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters reinforce that edge. Republican primary contenders, led by state Sen. Eric Pratt, face structural headwinds in a suburban district that has trended Democratic since 2018. Recent candidate filings closing in early June and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements have kept trader probabilities aligned with these fundamentals heading into the August primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
26%
Democratic Party
51%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$156 거래량
26%
Democratic Party
$111 거래량
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Rep. Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate has produced a competitive Democratic primary, with Matt Little securing the DFL endorsement on the first ballot in May 2026. This has positioned Democrats as the consensus favorite in the November general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters reinforce that edge. Republican primary contenders, led by state Sen. Eric Pratt, face structural headwinds in a suburban district that has trended Democratic since 2018. Recent candidate filings closing in early June and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements have kept trader probabilities aligned with these fundamentals heading into the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$267종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Rep. Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate has produced a competitive Democratic primary, with Matt Little securing the DFL endorsement on the first ballot in May 2026. This has positioned Democrats as the consensus favorite in the November general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters reinforce that edge. Republican primary contenders, led by state Sen. Eric Pratt, face structural headwinds in a suburban district that has trended Democratic since 2018. Recent candidate filings closing in early June and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements have kept trader probabilities aligned with these fundamentals heading into the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$267종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Rep. Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate has produced a competitive Democratic primary, with Matt Little securing the DFL endorsement on the first ballot in May 2026. This has positioned Democrats as the consensus favorite in the November general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters reinforce that edge. Republican primary contenders, led by state Sen. Eric Pratt, face structural headwinds in a suburban district that has trended Democratic since 2018. Recent candidate filings closing in early June and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements have kept trader probabilities aligned with these fundamentals heading into the August primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문