Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy faces minimal primary opposition and holds a substantial edge in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a reliably Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 that supported the Republican presidential nominee by 21 points in 2024. Langworthy’s prior general-election margins near 65 percent and strong fundraising reflect entrenched voter preference in the Southern Tier and surrounding areas. Democratic primary voters will choose between Aaron Gies and Kevin Stocker on June 23, but historical turnout patterns and the district’s partisan composition limit the general-election threat. Recent petitioning and candidate forums have not altered the race’s structural dynamics, leaving the Republican nominee positioned to retain the seat in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
16%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,849 거래량
81%
Democratic Party
$2,242 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy faces minimal primary opposition and holds a substantial edge in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a reliably Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 that supported the Republican presidential nominee by 21 points in 2024. Langworthy’s prior general-election margins near 65 percent and strong fundraising reflect entrenched voter preference in the Southern Tier and surrounding areas. Democratic primary voters will choose between Aaron Gies and Kevin Stocker on June 23, but historical turnout patterns and the district’s partisan composition limit the general-election threat. Recent petitioning and candidate forums have not altered the race’s structural dynamics, leaving the Republican nominee positioned to retain the seat in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$7,091종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy faces minimal primary opposition and holds a substantial edge in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a reliably Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 that supported the Republican presidential nominee by 21 points in 2024. Langworthy’s prior general-election margins near 65 percent and strong fundraising reflect entrenched voter preference in the Southern Tier and surrounding areas. Democratic primary voters will choose between Aaron Gies and Kevin Stocker on June 23, but historical turnout patterns and the district’s partisan composition limit the general-election threat. Recent petitioning and candidate forums have not altered the race’s structural dynamics, leaving the Republican nominee positioned to retain the seat in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,091종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy faces minimal primary opposition and holds a substantial edge in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a reliably Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 that supported the Republican presidential nominee by 21 points in 2024. Langworthy’s prior general-election margins near 65 percent and strong fundraising reflect entrenched voter preference in the Southern Tier and surrounding areas. Democratic primary voters will choose between Aaron Gies and Kevin Stocker on June 23, but historical turnout patterns and the district’s partisan composition limit the general-election threat. Recent petitioning and candidate forums have not altered the race’s structural dynamics, leaving the Republican nominee positioned to retain the seat in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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