Ohio's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by its urban Cleveland core and consistent partisan voting patterns that favor the party in general elections. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with a strong primary performance in May 2026, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic victory. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$4,350 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$2,933 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by its urban Cleveland core and consistent partisan voting patterns that favor the party in general elections. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with a strong primary performance in May 2026, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic victory. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$7,284종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by its urban Cleveland core and consistent partisan voting patterns that favor the party in general elections. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with a strong primary performance in May 2026, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic victory. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,284종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by its urban Cleveland core and consistent partisan voting patterns that favor the party in general elections. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with a strong primary performance in May 2026, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic victory. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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