Illinois' 7th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+37, continues to favor the Democratic nominee following longtime Rep. Danny Davis's July 2025 retirement announcement and La Shawn Ford's victory in the crowded March 17, 2026, Democratic primary, where he secured the endorsement and overcame significant opposition spending. Historical general election margins exceeding 70 points for Democrats, combined with the district's urban Chicago demographics and voter registration advantages, underpin trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democratic hold against Republican nominee Chad Koppie. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal engulfing Ford, unprecedented GOP turnout surge in midterms, or national wave dynamics, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,031 거래량
$13,031 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
5%
$13,031 거래량
$13,031 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$3,488 거래량
94%
공화당
$9,544 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 7th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+37, continues to favor the Democratic nominee following longtime Rep. Danny Davis's July 2025 retirement announcement and La Shawn Ford's victory in the crowded March 17, 2026, Democratic primary, where he secured the endorsement and overcame significant opposition spending. Historical general election margins exceeding 70 points for Democrats, combined with the district's urban Chicago demographics and voter registration advantages, underpin trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democratic hold against Republican nominee Chad Koppie. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal engulfing Ford, unprecedented GOP turnout surge in midterms, or national wave dynamics, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$13,031종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 7th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+37, continues to favor the Democratic nominee following longtime Rep. Danny Davis's July 2025 retirement announcement and La Shawn Ford's victory in the crowded March 17, 2026, Democratic primary, where he secured the endorsement and overcame significant opposition spending. Historical general election margins exceeding 70 points for Democrats, combined with the district's urban Chicago demographics and voter registration advantages, underpin trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democratic hold against Republican nominee Chad Koppie. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal engulfing Ford, unprecedented GOP turnout surge in midterms, or national wave dynamics, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,031종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois' 7th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+37, continues to favor the Democratic nominee following longtime Rep. Danny Davis's July 2025 retirement announcement and La Shawn Ford's victory in the crowded March 17, 2026, Democratic primary, where he secured the endorsement and overcame significant opposition spending. Historical general election margins exceeding 70 points for Democrats, combined with the district's urban Chicago demographics and voter registration advantages, underpin trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democratic hold against Republican nominee Chad Koppie. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal engulfing Ford, unprecedented GOP turnout surge in midterms, or national wave dynamics, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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