The Illinois 7th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent general-election margins above 80 percent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened a crowded March 2026 primary that La Shawn Ford won with a plurality, while Chad Koppie secured the Republican nomination; the resulting general-election matchup on November 3 occurs in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Historical turnout patterns among Chicago-area voters and limited Republican infrastructure in the district further reinforce the current pricing. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health issues affecting the nominee, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though none have materialized since the primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,963 거래량
$18,963 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
1%
$18,963 거래량
$18,963 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$5,445 거래량
96%
공화당
$13,517 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent general-election margins above 80 percent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened a crowded March 2026 primary that La Shawn Ford won with a plurality, while Chad Koppie secured the Republican nomination; the resulting general-election matchup on November 3 occurs in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Historical turnout patterns among Chicago-area voters and limited Republican infrastructure in the district further reinforce the current pricing. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health issues affecting the nominee, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though none have materialized since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$18,963종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent general-election margins above 80 percent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened a crowded March 2026 primary that La Shawn Ford won with a plurality, while Chad Koppie secured the Republican nomination; the resulting general-election matchup on November 3 occurs in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Historical turnout patterns among Chicago-area voters and limited Republican infrastructure in the district further reinforce the current pricing. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health issues affecting the nominee, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though none have materialized since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,963종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 7th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent general-election margins above 80 percent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened a crowded March 2026 primary that La Shawn Ford won with a plurality, while Chad Koppie secured the Republican nomination; the resulting general-election matchup on November 3 occurs in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Historical turnout patterns among Chicago-area voters and limited Republican infrastructure in the district further reinforce the current pricing. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health issues affecting the nominee, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though none have materialized since the primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문