Trader consensus prices Republican retention of Missouri's 7th congressional district at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat's solid R+21 partisan lean and incumbent Eric Burlison's strong position entering the August 4 Republican primary against challengers like John Casey. Southwest Missouri's district fundamentals, anchored by Springfield, favor GOP dominance, with Burlison's prior landslide victories and ongoing constituent services underscoring incumbency advantages. The Democratic field, headlined by Missi Hesketh, shows no competitive polling or fundraising breakthroughs. Absent a major GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout, Democratic upset remains improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,348 거래량
$14,348 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
7%
$14,348 거래량
$14,348 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$12,178 거래량
92%
민주당
$2,169 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican retention of Missouri's 7th congressional district at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat's solid R+21 partisan lean and incumbent Eric Burlison's strong position entering the August 4 Republican primary against challengers like John Casey. Southwest Missouri's district fundamentals, anchored by Springfield, favor GOP dominance, with Burlison's prior landslide victories and ongoing constituent services underscoring incumbency advantages. The Democratic field, headlined by Missi Hesketh, shows no competitive polling or fundraising breakthroughs. Absent a major GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout, Democratic upset remains improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$14,348종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican retention of Missouri's 7th congressional district at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat's solid R+21 partisan lean and incumbent Eric Burlison's strong position entering the August 4 Republican primary against challengers like John Casey. Southwest Missouri's district fundamentals, anchored by Springfield, favor GOP dominance, with Burlison's prior landslide victories and ongoing constituent services underscoring incumbency advantages. The Democratic field, headlined by Missi Hesketh, shows no competitive polling or fundraising breakthroughs. Absent a major GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout, Democratic upset remains improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,348종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican retention of Missouri's 7th congressional district at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat's solid R+21 partisan lean and incumbent Eric Burlison's strong position entering the August 4 Republican primary against challengers like John Casey. Southwest Missouri's district fundamentals, anchored by Springfield, favor GOP dominance, with Burlison's prior landslide victories and ongoing constituent services underscoring incumbency advantages. The Democratic field, headlined by Missi Hesketh, shows no competitive polling or fundraising breakthroughs. Absent a major GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout, Democratic upset remains improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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