Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson secured the nomination for Illinois’s 1st congressional district after advancing unopposed through the March 17 primary, facing Republican nominee Christian Maxwell in the November 3 general election. The South Side Chicago-based district has long favored Democratic candidates, with Jackson capturing 65.8 percent of the vote in 2024. This partisan composition and incumbency advantage underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Late developments such as a significant personal or campaign scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin, though the district’s established voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such shifts before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$40,362 거래량
$40,362 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
2%
$40,362 거래량
$40,362 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,654 거래량
93%
공화당
$22,708 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson secured the nomination for Illinois’s 1st congressional district after advancing unopposed through the March 17 primary, facing Republican nominee Christian Maxwell in the November 3 general election. The South Side Chicago-based district has long favored Democratic candidates, with Jackson capturing 65.8 percent of the vote in 2024. This partisan composition and incumbency advantage underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Late developments such as a significant personal or campaign scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin, though the district’s established voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such shifts before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$40,362종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson secured the nomination for Illinois’s 1st congressional district after advancing unopposed through the March 17 primary, facing Republican nominee Christian Maxwell in the November 3 general election. The South Side Chicago-based district has long favored Democratic candidates, with Jackson capturing 65.8 percent of the vote in 2024. This partisan composition and incumbency advantage underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Late developments such as a significant personal or campaign scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin, though the district’s established voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such shifts before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$40,362종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson secured the nomination for Illinois’s 1st congressional district after advancing unopposed through the March 17 primary, facing Republican nominee Christian Maxwell in the November 3 general election. The South Side Chicago-based district has long favored Democratic candidates, with Jackson capturing 65.8 percent of the vote in 2024. This partisan composition and incumbency advantage underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Late developments such as a significant personal or campaign scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin, though the district’s established voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such shifts before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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