Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's easy Democratic primary victory on March 17 over a write-in challenger, combined with the district's D+18 partisan lean and his 65.8% 2024 general election win, underpin trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats in the IL-01 House race. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, with Jackson holding a fundraising edge—over $300,000 raised versus Republican nominee Christian Maxwell's $27,000 as of late February—reflecting low competitiveness in this Chicago South Side stronghold. No major developments have emerged since the primaries nearly a month ago. Scenarios like a Jackson scandal, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national GOP midterm wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,841 거래량
$31,841 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$31,841 거래량
$31,841 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$13,254 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$18,587 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's easy Democratic primary victory on March 17 over a write-in challenger, combined with the district's D+18 partisan lean and his 65.8% 2024 general election win, underpin trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats in the IL-01 House race. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, with Jackson holding a fundraising edge—over $300,000 raised versus Republican nominee Christian Maxwell's $27,000 as of late February—reflecting low competitiveness in this Chicago South Side stronghold. No major developments have emerged since the primaries nearly a month ago. Scenarios like a Jackson scandal, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national GOP midterm wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$31,841종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's easy Democratic primary victory on March 17 over a write-in challenger, combined with the district's D+18 partisan lean and his 65.8% 2024 general election win, underpin trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats in the IL-01 House race. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, with Jackson holding a fundraising edge—over $300,000 raised versus Republican nominee Christian Maxwell's $27,000 as of late February—reflecting low competitiveness in this Chicago South Side stronghold. No major developments have emerged since the primaries nearly a month ago. Scenarios like a Jackson scandal, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national GOP midterm wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,841종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's easy Democratic primary victory on March 17 over a write-in challenger, combined with the district's D+18 partisan lean and his 65.8% 2024 general election win, underpin trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats in the IL-01 House race. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, with Jackson holding a fundraising edge—over $300,000 raised versus Republican nominee Christian Maxwell's $27,000 as of late February—reflecting low competitiveness in this Chicago South Side stronghold. No major developments have emerged since the primaries nearly a month ago. Scenarios like a Jackson scandal, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national GOP midterm wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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