Trader consensus prices a Republican Party win at 91% in the open LA-05 House race, driven by the district's strong GOP lean following Rep. Julia Letlow's departure for a U.S. Senate bid. A Bedrock/Rainey Center poll from April 4-7 shows a fragmented Republican primary with state Sen. Blake Miguez at 23% and state Rep. Michael Echols at 20%, likely advancing both to a June 27 runoff after the May 16 closed primary. The weak Democratic field reinforces historical partisan advantages and ratings deeming the seat safely Republican. Upsets could stem from nominee scandals, GOP voter apathy, or a Democratic national surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$0 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$2,103 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican Party win at 91% in the open LA-05 House race, driven by the district's strong GOP lean following Rep. Julia Letlow's departure for a U.S. Senate bid. A Bedrock/Rainey Center poll from April 4-7 shows a fragmented Republican primary with state Sen. Blake Miguez at 23% and state Rep. Michael Echols at 20%, likely advancing both to a June 27 runoff after the May 16 closed primary. The weak Democratic field reinforces historical partisan advantages and ratings deeming the seat safely Republican. Upsets could stem from nominee scandals, GOP voter apathy, or a Democratic national surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$2,103종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican Party win at 91% in the open LA-05 House race, driven by the district's strong GOP lean following Rep. Julia Letlow's departure for a U.S. Senate bid. A Bedrock/Rainey Center poll from April 4-7 shows a fragmented Republican primary with state Sen. Blake Miguez at 23% and state Rep. Michael Echols at 20%, likely advancing both to a June 27 runoff after the May 16 closed primary. The weak Democratic field reinforces historical partisan advantages and ratings deeming the seat safely Republican. Upsets could stem from nominee scandals, GOP voter apathy, or a Democratic national surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,103종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican Party win at 91% in the open LA-05 House race, driven by the district's strong GOP lean following Rep. Julia Letlow's departure for a U.S. Senate bid. A Bedrock/Rainey Center poll from April 4-7 shows a fragmented Republican primary with state Sen. Blake Miguez at 23% and state Rep. Michael Echols at 20%, likely advancing both to a June 27 runoff after the May 16 closed primary. The weak Democratic field reinforces historical partisan advantages and ratings deeming the seat safely Republican. Upsets could stem from nominee scandals, GOP voter apathy, or a Democratic national surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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