Kentucky's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with nearly 88 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, positioning him against Democratic nominee Drew Williams for the November general election. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors, including limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's western and central Kentucky voter base. A major national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,618 거래량
$19,618 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
6%
$19,618 거래량
$19,618 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$11,283 거래량
94%
민주당
$8,336 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with nearly 88 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, positioning him against Democratic nominee Drew Williams for the November general election. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors, including limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's western and central Kentucky voter base. A major national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$19,618종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with nearly 88 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, positioning him against Democratic nominee Drew Williams for the November general election. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors, including limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's western and central Kentucky voter base. A major national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,618종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with nearly 88 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, positioning him against Democratic nominee Drew Williams for the November general election. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors, including limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's western and central Kentucky voter base. A major national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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