Kentucky's 1st Congressional District maintains a strongly Republican partisan voter index of R+23, ranking among the nation's most conservative seats and supporting consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with roughly 88 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, facing Democrat Drew Williams in the November general election. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that prices the GOP outcome near 93 percent. Historical results, including Comer's 2024 victory by nearly 50 points, reinforce this positioning. A shift would require an unusually large national swing, major candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far exceeding typical patterns in this district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,202 거래량
$18,202 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
7%
$18,202 거래량
$18,202 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$11,283 거래량
94%
민주당
$6,920 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 1st Congressional District maintains a strongly Republican partisan voter index of R+23, ranking among the nation's most conservative seats and supporting consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with roughly 88 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, facing Democrat Drew Williams in the November general election. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that prices the GOP outcome near 93 percent. Historical results, including Comer's 2024 victory by nearly 50 points, reinforce this positioning. A shift would require an unusually large national swing, major candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far exceeding typical patterns in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$18,202종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 1st Congressional District maintains a strongly Republican partisan voter index of R+23, ranking among the nation's most conservative seats and supporting consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with roughly 88 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, facing Democrat Drew Williams in the November general election. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that prices the GOP outcome near 93 percent. Historical results, including Comer's 2024 victory by nearly 50 points, reinforce this positioning. A shift would require an unusually large national swing, major candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far exceeding typical patterns in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,202종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 1st Congressional District maintains a strongly Republican partisan voter index of R+23, ranking among the nation's most conservative seats and supporting consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with roughly 88 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, facing Democrat Drew Williams in the November general election. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that prices the GOP outcome near 93 percent. Historical results, including Comer's 2024 victory by nearly 50 points, reinforce this positioning. A shift would require an unusually large national swing, major candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far exceeding typical patterns in this district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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