Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas with a partisan voter index exceeding D+21. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, first elected in 2012, secured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 and faces minimal organized opposition ahead of the August primary and November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others have consistently rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent 40-plus point margins in recent cycles and the absence of a credible Republican challenger. This structural advantage underpins the market’s heavy Democratic consensus. An unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant shift in national political conditions before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$89,745 거래량
$89,745 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
97%
공화당
2%
$89,745 거래량
$89,745 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$53,680 거래량
97%
공화당
$36,065 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas with a partisan voter index exceeding D+21. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, first elected in 2012, secured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 and faces minimal organized opposition ahead of the August primary and November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others have consistently rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent 40-plus point margins in recent cycles and the absence of a credible Republican challenger. This structural advantage underpins the market’s heavy Democratic consensus. An unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant shift in national political conditions before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$89,745종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas with a partisan voter index exceeding D+21. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, first elected in 2012, secured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 and faces minimal organized opposition ahead of the August primary and November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others have consistently rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent 40-plus point margins in recent cycles and the absence of a credible Republican challenger. This structural advantage underpins the market’s heavy Democratic consensus. An unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant shift in national political conditions before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$89,745종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas with a partisan voter index exceeding D+21. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, first elected in 2012, secured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 and faces minimal organized opposition ahead of the August primary and November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others have consistently rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent 40-plus point margins in recent cycles and the absence of a credible Republican challenger. This structural advantage underpins the market’s heavy Democratic consensus. An unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant shift in national political conditions before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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