The absence of any Republican filing by Wisconsin’s June 2026 nomination deadline in the solidly Democratic WI-02 district has locked in trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Incumbent Mark Pocan, who carried the Madison-centered seat by more than 70 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11 before the November general election. The district’s consistent D+21 partisan voter index, combined with historical turnout patterns and the lack of a GOP nominee, leaves little realistic path for Republican competitiveness. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or health event could theoretically reopen the race, yet current pricing reflects the structural barriers that have kept opposition negligible.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$91,245 거래량
$91,245 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
97%
공화당
3%
$91,245 거래량
$91,245 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$53,680 거래량
97%
공화당
$37,565 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The absence of any Republican filing by Wisconsin’s June 2026 nomination deadline in the solidly Democratic WI-02 district has locked in trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Incumbent Mark Pocan, who carried the Madison-centered seat by more than 70 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11 before the November general election. The district’s consistent D+21 partisan voter index, combined with historical turnout patterns and the lack of a GOP nominee, leaves little realistic path for Republican competitiveness. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or health event could theoretically reopen the race, yet current pricing reflects the structural barriers that have kept opposition negligible.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$91,245종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The absence of any Republican filing by Wisconsin’s June 2026 nomination deadline in the solidly Democratic WI-02 district has locked in trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Incumbent Mark Pocan, who carried the Madison-centered seat by more than 70 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11 before the November general election. The district’s consistent D+21 partisan voter index, combined with historical turnout patterns and the lack of a GOP nominee, leaves little realistic path for Republican competitiveness. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or health event could theoretically reopen the race, yet current pricing reflects the structural barriers that have kept opposition negligible.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$91,245종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The absence of any Republican filing by Wisconsin’s June 2026 nomination deadline in the solidly Democratic WI-02 district has locked in trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Incumbent Mark Pocan, who carried the Madison-centered seat by more than 70 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11 before the November general election. The district’s consistent D+21 partisan voter index, combined with historical turnout patterns and the lack of a GOP nominee, leaves little realistic path for Republican competitiveness. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or health event could theoretically reopen the race, yet current pricing reflects the structural barriers that have kept opposition negligible.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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