Texas's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+24 and consistent historical voting patterns across the Texas Panhandle. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured a dominant primary victory, advancing as the clear nominee with minimal opposition. These structural factors align with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 92.5% implied probability. A national political wave favoring Democrats or late developments involving the nominee could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline metrics limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,663 거래량
$13,663 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$13,663 거래량
$13,663 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,029 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$10,634 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+24 and consistent historical voting patterns across the Texas Panhandle. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured a dominant primary victory, advancing as the clear nominee with minimal opposition. These structural factors align with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 92.5% implied probability. A national political wave favoring Democrats or late developments involving the nominee could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline metrics limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$13,663종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+24 and consistent historical voting patterns across the Texas Panhandle. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured a dominant primary victory, advancing as the clear nominee with minimal opposition. These structural factors align with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 92.5% implied probability. A national political wave favoring Democrats or late developments involving the nominee could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline metrics limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,663종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+24 and consistent historical voting patterns across the Texas Panhandle. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured a dominant primary victory, advancing as the clear nominee with minimal opposition. These structural factors align with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 92.5% implied probability. A national political wave favoring Democrats or late developments involving the nominee could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline metrics limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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