The Texas 13th congressional district’s longstanding Republican tilt, reinforced by the August 2025 redistricting that further strengthened GOP-leaning areas in the Panhandle, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote in late May 2026, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed, reflecting limited opposition and the district’s consistent electoral history, including strong Republican margins in recent presidential and Senate races. With the November 2026 general election still months away, the wide gap in implied probabilities aligns with the seat’s structural advantages. A major scandal, incumbent health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,663 거래량
$13,663 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$13,663 거래량
$13,663 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,029 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$10,634 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district’s longstanding Republican tilt, reinforced by the August 2025 redistricting that further strengthened GOP-leaning areas in the Panhandle, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote in late May 2026, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed, reflecting limited opposition and the district’s consistent electoral history, including strong Republican margins in recent presidential and Senate races. With the November 2026 general election still months away, the wide gap in implied probabilities aligns with the seat’s structural advantages. A major scandal, incumbent health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$13,663종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district’s longstanding Republican tilt, reinforced by the August 2025 redistricting that further strengthened GOP-leaning areas in the Panhandle, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote in late May 2026, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed, reflecting limited opposition and the district’s consistent electoral history, including strong Republican margins in recent presidential and Senate races. With the November 2026 general election still months away, the wide gap in implied probabilities aligns with the seat’s structural advantages. A major scandal, incumbent health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,663종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 13th congressional district’s longstanding Republican tilt, reinforced by the August 2025 redistricting that further strengthened GOP-leaning areas in the Panhandle, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote in late May 2026, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed, reflecting limited opposition and the district’s consistent electoral history, including strong Republican margins in recent presidential and Senate races. With the November 2026 general election still months away, the wide gap in implied probabilities aligns with the seat’s structural advantages. A major scandal, incumbent health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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