Incumbent Republican Erin Houchin secured her party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election against Democrat Brad Meyer in Indiana's 9th district. The south-central and southeastern Indiana seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Houchin winning reelection by roughly 29 points in 2024. Meyer's victory in a divided four-candidate Democratic primary with under 38 percent of the vote reflects a fragmented opposition. No significant polling shifts, scandals, or redistricting changes have emerged since the primaries to alter these fundamentals. A late national Democratic surge, major personal or campaign controversy, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns continue to underpin the strong Republican position reflected in current trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$5,016 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$3,550 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Erin Houchin secured her party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election against Democrat Brad Meyer in Indiana's 9th district. The south-central and southeastern Indiana seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Houchin winning reelection by roughly 29 points in 2024. Meyer's victory in a divided four-candidate Democratic primary with under 38 percent of the vote reflects a fragmented opposition. No significant polling shifts, scandals, or redistricting changes have emerged since the primaries to alter these fundamentals. A late national Democratic surge, major personal or campaign controversy, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns continue to underpin the strong Republican position reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$8,566종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Erin Houchin secured her party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election against Democrat Brad Meyer in Indiana's 9th district. The south-central and southeastern Indiana seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Houchin winning reelection by roughly 29 points in 2024. Meyer's victory in a divided four-candidate Democratic primary with under 38 percent of the vote reflects a fragmented opposition. No significant polling shifts, scandals, or redistricting changes have emerged since the primaries to alter these fundamentals. A late national Democratic surge, major personal or campaign controversy, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns continue to underpin the strong Republican position reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,566종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Erin Houchin secured her party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election against Democrat Brad Meyer in Indiana's 9th district. The south-central and southeastern Indiana seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Houchin winning reelection by roughly 29 points in 2024. Meyer's victory in a divided four-candidate Democratic primary with under 38 percent of the vote reflects a fragmented opposition. No significant polling shifts, scandals, or redistricting changes have emerged since the primaries to alter these fundamentals. A late national Democratic surge, major personal or campaign controversy, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns continue to underpin the strong Republican position reflected in current trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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