The KS-01 race reflects the district’s entrenched Republican advantage, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and reelected with 69 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest while Democratic primary entrants remain untested in the sprawling rural district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus therefore heavily favors the Republican nominee. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political shift, a significant scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout and fundraising in the final months before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,484 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$3,539 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The KS-01 race reflects the district’s entrenched Republican advantage, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and reelected with 69 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest while Democratic primary entrants remain untested in the sprawling rural district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus therefore heavily favors the Republican nominee. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political shift, a significant scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout and fundraising in the final months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$8,022종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The KS-01 race reflects the district’s entrenched Republican advantage, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and reelected with 69 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest while Democratic primary entrants remain untested in the sprawling rural district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus therefore heavily favors the Republican nominee. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political shift, a significant scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout and fundraising in the final months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,022종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The KS-01 race reflects the district’s entrenched Republican advantage, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and reelected with 69 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest while Democratic primary entrants remain untested in the sprawling rural district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus therefore heavily favors the Republican nominee. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political shift, a significant scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout and fundraising in the final months before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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