Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+16 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann, who won 69 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after Democratic primary contenders reported limited fundraising. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these structural advantages, with any shift requiring an unusually large national Democratic wave or unforeseen local developments to alter the outcome before the August primaries and November vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,484 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$2,939 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+16 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann, who won 69 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after Democratic primary contenders reported limited fundraising. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these structural advantages, with any shift requiring an unusually large national Democratic wave or unforeseen local developments to alter the outcome before the August primaries and November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$7,422종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+16 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann, who won 69 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after Democratic primary contenders reported limited fundraising. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these structural advantages, with any shift requiring an unusually large national Democratic wave or unforeseen local developments to alter the outcome before the August primaries and November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,422종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+16 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann, who won 69 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after Democratic primary contenders reported limited fundraising. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these structural advantages, with any shift requiring an unusually large national Democratic wave or unforeseen local developments to alter the outcome before the August primaries and November vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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