Texas' 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains heavily favored for the GOP following incumbent Morgan Luttrell's retirement announcement last year. Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination decisively in the March 3 primary, capturing 69% of the vote against a crowded field, bolstering trader consensus on a GOP hold. Democrat Laura Jones, who lost 68%-32% to Luttrell in 2024, again won her primary but faces steep historical margins in this Houston exurban battleground. With no general election polls yet and forecasters like Cook and Sabato maintaining Safe/Solid R ratings, the 89% implied probability for Republicans reflects district fundamentals and primary outcomes, though national midterm trends or scandals could shift dynamics ahead of November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$0 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$2,291 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains heavily favored for the GOP following incumbent Morgan Luttrell's retirement announcement last year. Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination decisively in the March 3 primary, capturing 69% of the vote against a crowded field, bolstering trader consensus on a GOP hold. Democrat Laura Jones, who lost 68%-32% to Luttrell in 2024, again won her primary but faces steep historical margins in this Houston exurban battleground. With no general election polls yet and forecasters like Cook and Sabato maintaining Safe/Solid R ratings, the 89% implied probability for Republicans reflects district fundamentals and primary outcomes, though national midterm trends or scandals could shift dynamics ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$2,291종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains heavily favored for the GOP following incumbent Morgan Luttrell's retirement announcement last year. Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination decisively in the March 3 primary, capturing 69% of the vote against a crowded field, bolstering trader consensus on a GOP hold. Democrat Laura Jones, who lost 68%-32% to Luttrell in 2024, again won her primary but faces steep historical margins in this Houston exurban battleground. With no general election polls yet and forecasters like Cook and Sabato maintaining Safe/Solid R ratings, the 89% implied probability for Republicans reflects district fundamentals and primary outcomes, though national midterm trends or scandals could shift dynamics ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,291종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains heavily favored for the GOP following incumbent Morgan Luttrell's retirement announcement last year. Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination decisively in the March 3 primary, capturing 69% of the vote against a crowded field, bolstering trader consensus on a GOP hold. Democrat Laura Jones, who lost 68%-32% to Luttrell in 2024, again won her primary but faces steep historical margins in this Houston exurban battleground. With no general election polls yet and forecasters like Cook and Sabato maintaining Safe/Solid R ratings, the 89% implied probability for Republicans reflects district fundamentals and primary outcomes, though national midterm trends or scandals could shift dynamics ahead of November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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