Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000 and reelected in 2024 with over 67 percent of the vote, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and November general election. Republican primary candidates have filed but lack the fundraising or name recognition to mount a serious contest in this Ramsey County-centered district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical results and structural factors, though an unexpected retirement, major scandal, or significant shift in national conditions could theoretically alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,370 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$4,742 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000 and reelected in 2024 with over 67 percent of the vote, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and November general election. Republican primary candidates have filed but lack the fundraising or name recognition to mount a serious contest in this Ramsey County-centered district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical results and structural factors, though an unexpected retirement, major scandal, or significant shift in national conditions could theoretically alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$8,112종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000 and reelected in 2024 with over 67 percent of the vote, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and November general election. Republican primary candidates have filed but lack the fundraising or name recognition to mount a serious contest in this Ramsey County-centered district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical results and structural factors, though an unexpected retirement, major scandal, or significant shift in national conditions could theoretically alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,112종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000 and reelected in 2024 with over 67 percent of the vote, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and November general election. Republican primary candidates have filed but lack the fundraising or name recognition to mount a serious contest in this Ramsey County-centered district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical results and structural factors, though an unexpected retirement, major scandal, or significant shift in national conditions could theoretically alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문