Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's unchallenged victory in the March 3, 2026, primary has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93% in the AR-01 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its consistent GOP dominance since Crawford's 2011 election. Eastern Arkansas's strong partisan lean, bolstered by high Republican turnout in recent cycles, underscores Crawford's path to an eighth term against Democratic nominee Terri Green, a retired pathologist who launched her campaign in late March amid limited fundraising visibility. While the November 3 general election remains distant, scenarios like a major Crawford scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though historical incumbency advantages in safe seats make shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,455 거래량
$15,455 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
7%
$15,455 거래량
$15,455 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$11,066 거래량
93%
민주당
$4,389 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's unchallenged victory in the March 3, 2026, primary has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93% in the AR-01 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its consistent GOP dominance since Crawford's 2011 election. Eastern Arkansas's strong partisan lean, bolstered by high Republican turnout in recent cycles, underscores Crawford's path to an eighth term against Democratic nominee Terri Green, a retired pathologist who launched her campaign in late March amid limited fundraising visibility. While the November 3 general election remains distant, scenarios like a major Crawford scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though historical incumbency advantages in safe seats make shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$15,455종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's unchallenged victory in the March 3, 2026, primary has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93% in the AR-01 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its consistent GOP dominance since Crawford's 2011 election. Eastern Arkansas's strong partisan lean, bolstered by high Republican turnout in recent cycles, underscores Crawford's path to an eighth term against Democratic nominee Terri Green, a retired pathologist who launched her campaign in late March amid limited fundraising visibility. While the November 3 general election remains distant, scenarios like a major Crawford scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though historical incumbency advantages in safe seats make shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,455종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's unchallenged victory in the March 3, 2026, primary has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93% in the AR-01 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its consistent GOP dominance since Crawford's 2011 election. Eastern Arkansas's strong partisan lean, bolstered by high Republican turnout in recent cycles, underscores Crawford's path to an eighth term against Democratic nominee Terri Green, a retired pathologist who launched her campaign in late March amid limited fundraising visibility. While the November 3 general election remains distant, scenarios like a major Crawford scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though historical incumbency advantages in safe seats make shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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