Missouri's 5th Congressional District race reflects trader consensus favoring Republicans at 61% following the state Supreme Court's March 24 ruling upholding a newly redrawn congressional map that shifts the district rightward, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas around Kansas City and contributing to Donald Trump's 41% performance there in 2024. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver seeks Democratic re-nomination amid minimal primary opposition, while a crowded Republican primary—including Rick Brattin, Taylor Burks, and others—signals strong GOP contender recruitment and enthusiasm to challenge the D+12 PVI district. Absent recent polls, the 33% Democratic odds underscore uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, with ratings split between Solid Democratic (Cook) and Safe Republican (Sabato).
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
34%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$1,001 거래량
61%
Democratic Party
$238 거래량
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th Congressional District race reflects trader consensus favoring Republicans at 61% following the state Supreme Court's March 24 ruling upholding a newly redrawn congressional map that shifts the district rightward, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas around Kansas City and contributing to Donald Trump's 41% performance there in 2024. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver seeks Democratic re-nomination amid minimal primary opposition, while a crowded Republican primary—including Rick Brattin, Taylor Burks, and others—signals strong GOP contender recruitment and enthusiasm to challenge the D+12 PVI district. Absent recent polls, the 33% Democratic odds underscore uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, with ratings split between Solid Democratic (Cook) and Safe Republican (Sabato).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$1,238종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th Congressional District race reflects trader consensus favoring Republicans at 61% following the state Supreme Court's March 24 ruling upholding a newly redrawn congressional map that shifts the district rightward, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas around Kansas City and contributing to Donald Trump's 41% performance there in 2024. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver seeks Democratic re-nomination amid minimal primary opposition, while a crowded Republican primary—including Rick Brattin, Taylor Burks, and others—signals strong GOP contender recruitment and enthusiasm to challenge the D+12 PVI district. Absent recent polls, the 33% Democratic odds underscore uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, with ratings split between Solid Democratic (Cook) and Safe Republican (Sabato).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,238종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 5th Congressional District race reflects trader consensus favoring Republicans at 61% following the state Supreme Court's March 24 ruling upholding a newly redrawn congressional map that shifts the district rightward, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas around Kansas City and contributing to Donald Trump's 41% performance there in 2024. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver seeks Democratic re-nomination amid minimal primary opposition, while a crowded Republican primary—including Rick Brattin, Taylor Burks, and others—signals strong GOP contender recruitment and enthusiasm to challenge the D+12 PVI district. Absent recent polls, the 33% Democratic odds underscore uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, with ratings split between Solid Democratic (Cook) and Safe Republican (Sabato).
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문