Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican victory at 79.5% in Florida's 15th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's R+5 partisan lean, incumbent Rep. Laurel Lee's unopposed Republican primary path on August 18, and her dominant fundraising with over $1.7 million cash on hand after raising $579,000 in Q1 2026. The crowded Democratic primary featuring Jose Engell, Darren McAuley, Kimberly Overman, and Robert People risks producing a fragmented nominee lacking resources, as ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore limited competitiveness despite DCCC targeting since late 2025. No recent polls show shifts, with Lee's financial edge bolstering trader confidence ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
17%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,047 거래량
80%
Democratic Party
$1,522 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican victory at 79.5% in Florida's 15th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's R+5 partisan lean, incumbent Rep. Laurel Lee's unopposed Republican primary path on August 18, and her dominant fundraising with over $1.7 million cash on hand after raising $579,000 in Q1 2026. The crowded Democratic primary featuring Jose Engell, Darren McAuley, Kimberly Overman, and Robert People risks producing a fragmented nominee lacking resources, as ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore limited competitiveness despite DCCC targeting since late 2025. No recent polls show shifts, with Lee's financial edge bolstering trader confidence ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$3,570종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican victory at 79.5% in Florida's 15th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's R+5 partisan lean, incumbent Rep. Laurel Lee's unopposed Republican primary path on August 18, and her dominant fundraising with over $1.7 million cash on hand after raising $579,000 in Q1 2026. The crowded Democratic primary featuring Jose Engell, Darren McAuley, Kimberly Overman, and Robert People risks producing a fragmented nominee lacking resources, as ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore limited competitiveness despite DCCC targeting since late 2025. No recent polls show shifts, with Lee's financial edge bolstering trader confidence ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,570종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican victory at 79.5% in Florida's 15th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's R+5 partisan lean, incumbent Rep. Laurel Lee's unopposed Republican primary path on August 18, and her dominant fundraising with over $1.7 million cash on hand after raising $579,000 in Q1 2026. The crowded Democratic primary featuring Jose Engell, Darren McAuley, Kimberly Overman, and Robert People risks producing a fragmented nominee lacking resources, as ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore limited competitiveness despite DCCC targeting since late 2025. No recent polls show shifts, with Lee's financial edge bolstering trader confidence ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문