Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory. The district’s D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of wide Democratic margins, including Latimer’s 2024 win exceeding 70 percent, underpin this outlook. Latimer advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican nominee confronts limited fundraising and organizational resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require significant shifts in national conditions or unexpected local developments before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,411 거래량
$35,411 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
1%
$35,411 거래량
$35,411 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$25,276 거래량
95%
공화당
$10,134 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory. The district’s D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of wide Democratic margins, including Latimer’s 2024 win exceeding 70 percent, underpin this outlook. Latimer advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican nominee confronts limited fundraising and organizational resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require significant shifts in national conditions or unexpected local developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$35,411종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory. The district’s D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of wide Democratic margins, including Latimer’s 2024 win exceeding 70 percent, underpin this outlook. Latimer advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican nominee confronts limited fundraising and organizational resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require significant shifts in national conditions or unexpected local developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$35,411종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory. The district’s D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of wide Democratic margins, including Latimer’s 2024 win exceeding 70 percent, underpin this outlook. Latimer advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican nominee confronts limited fundraising and organizational resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require significant shifts in national conditions or unexpected local developments before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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