Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's dominant 71% general election win in 2024 over Republican Miriam Flisser solidifies trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party in NY-16, a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 rated Solid Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With the April 6 filing deadline passed, Latimer faces no Democratic primary challengers on June 23, while Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani reports zero fundraising as of late March, highlighting stark resource disparities ahead of the November 3 ballot. Scenarios like a major Latimer scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could challenge this, but historical incumbency advantages and district demographics reinforce the status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,580 거래량
$19,580 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$19,580 거래량
$19,580 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,840 거래량
94%
공화당
$5,740 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's dominant 71% general election win in 2024 over Republican Miriam Flisser solidifies trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party in NY-16, a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 rated Solid Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With the April 6 filing deadline passed, Latimer faces no Democratic primary challengers on June 23, while Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani reports zero fundraising as of late March, highlighting stark resource disparities ahead of the November 3 ballot. Scenarios like a major Latimer scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could challenge this, but historical incumbency advantages and district demographics reinforce the status quo.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$19,580종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's dominant 71% general election win in 2024 over Republican Miriam Flisser solidifies trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party in NY-16, a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 rated Solid Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With the April 6 filing deadline passed, Latimer faces no Democratic primary challengers on June 23, while Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani reports zero fundraising as of late March, highlighting stark resource disparities ahead of the November 3 ballot. Scenarios like a major Latimer scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could challenge this, but historical incumbency advantages and district demographics reinforce the status quo.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,580종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's dominant 71% general election win in 2024 over Republican Miriam Flisser solidifies trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party in NY-16, a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 rated Solid Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With the April 6 filing deadline passed, Latimer faces no Democratic primary challengers on June 23, while Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani reports zero fundraising as of late March, highlighting stark resource disparities ahead of the November 3 ballot. Scenarios like a major Latimer scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could challenge this, but historical incumbency advantages and district demographics reinforce the status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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