**Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Hackney mayoral race under the supplementary vote system, with no candidate exceeding 28% implied probability amid five contenders.** Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley faces a strong challenge from Green Party's Zoë Garbett, buoyed by a mid-April JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% vote intention borough-wide—up 17 points from 2022—versus Labour's 33% drop, signaling voter shifts on housing, environment, and council performance. Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt, Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, and Conservative Tareke Gregg split remaining support at 11%, 8%, and 5%, respectively, per the poll, heightening fragmentation risks. With the 7 May election three weeks away, hustings, turnout in progressive wards, and second-preference flows could tip the balance, as Hackney's Labour stronghold faces its tightest mayoral contest in decades.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트조이 가벳 28%
에바 스타인하르트 27%
바히드 알마시 27%
캐롤라인 우들리 27%
신규
신규
2026.05.07
조이 가벳
28%
에바 스타인하르트
27%
바히드 알마시
27%
캐롤라인 우들리
27%
타레케 그레그
26%
조이 가벳 28%
에바 스타인하르트 27%
바히드 알마시 27%
캐롤라인 우들리 27%
신규
신규
2026.05.07
조이 가벳
$0 거래량
28%
에바 스타인하르트
$0 거래량
27%
바히드 알마시
$0 거래량
27%
캐롤라인 우들리
$0 거래량
27%
타레케 그레그
$0 거래량
26%
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.**Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Hackney mayoral race under the supplementary vote system, with no candidate exceeding 28% implied probability amid five contenders.** Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley faces a strong challenge from Green Party's Zoë Garbett, buoyed by a mid-April JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% vote intention borough-wide—up 17 points from 2022—versus Labour's 33% drop, signaling voter shifts on housing, environment, and council performance. Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt, Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, and Conservative Tareke Gregg split remaining support at 11%, 8%, and 5%, respectively, per the poll, heightening fragmentation risks. With the 7 May election three weeks away, hustings, turnout in progressive wards, and second-preference flows could tip the balance, as Hackney's Labour stronghold faces its tightest mayoral contest in decades.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.**Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Hackney mayoral race under the supplementary vote system, with no candidate exceeding 28% implied probability amid five contenders.** Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley faces a strong challenge from Green Party's Zoë Garbett, buoyed by a mid-April JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% vote intention borough-wide—up 17 points from 2022—versus Labour's 33% drop, signaling voter shifts on housing, environment, and council performance. Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt, Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, and Conservative Tareke Gregg split remaining support at 11%, 8%, and 5%, respectively, per the poll, heightening fragmentation risks. With the 7 May election three weeks away, hustings, turnout in progressive wards, and second-preference flows could tip the balance, as Hackney's Labour stronghold faces its tightest mayoral contest in decades.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Hackney mayoral race under the supplementary vote system, with no candidate exceeding 28% implied probability amid five contenders.** Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley faces a strong challenge from Green Party's Zoë Garbett, buoyed by a mid-April JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% vote intention borough-wide—up 17 points from 2022—versus Labour's 33% drop, signaling voter shifts on housing, environment, and council performance. Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt, Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, and Conservative Tareke Gregg split remaining support at 11%, 8%, and 5%, respectively, per the poll, heightening fragmentation risks. With the 7 May election three weeks away, hustings, turnout in progressive wards, and second-preference flows could tip the balance, as Hackney's Labour stronghold faces its tightest mayoral contest in decades.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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