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정치·이스라엘

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Market icon
정치·이스라엘

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

신규
2026.04.30
Polymarket

$1,920 거래량

Polymarket

April 17

$650 거래량

3%

April 30

$1,270 거래량

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun rejected a direct phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on April 16, informing U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio he requires concrete ceasefire progress first, amid U.S.-brokered de-escalation efforts following intensified Israel-Hezbollah clashes. President Trump announced a 10-day ceasefire effective April 17 after separate calls with both leaders, extending invitations for dialogue while Israeli officials claimed a conversation could occur imminently. No verbal interaction—phone, video, or in-person—has been confirmed by credible reporting. Traders weigh U.S. diplomatic pressure against Aoun's firm stance and Hezbollah's influence, with potential Washington-mediated talks or ceasefire extension by late April as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,920
종료일
2026.04.30
마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun rejected a direct phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on April 16, informing U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio he requires concrete ceasefire progress first, amid U.S.-brokered de-escalation efforts following intensified Israel-Hezbollah clashes. President Trump announced a 10-day ceasefire effective April 17 after separate calls with both leaders, extending invitations for dialogue while Israeli officials claimed a conversation could occur imminently. No verbal interaction—phone, video, or in-person—has been confirmed by credible reporting. Traders weigh U.S. diplomatic pressure against Aoun's firm stance and Hezbollah's influence, with potential Washington-mediated talks or ceasefire extension by late April as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,920
종료일
2026.04.30
마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 24%의 "April 30"이며, 이어서 3%의 "April 17"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 24¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 24%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 16, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?"의 현재 유력 후보는 24%의 "April 30"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 24%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 3%의 "April 17"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.