In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus favors Attorney General Ken Paxton at 59.5% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn's 40.5%, driven by Paxton's consistent edge in the RealClearPolling average (44.7%-41.3% through mid-April) among likely voters, reflecting stronger support from MAGA Republicans, evangelicals, and non-college voters. Recent polls show tightening, with independent co/efficient (April 11-14) giving Cornyn a slim 44%-43% lead, bolstered by his fourfold Q1 fundraising advantage ($9 million raised vs. Paxton's $2.2 million). Paxton's higher voter enthusiasm persists, while a potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard. Other candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt hold negligible odds after failing to advance from the March 3 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트켄 팩스턴 60%
존 코닌 41%
던 버킹엄 <1%
베스 반 두인 <1%
$15,409,169 거래량
$15,409,169 거래량
켄 팩스턴
60%
존 코닌
41%
던 버킹엄
<1%
베스 반 두인
<1%
웨슬리 헌트
<1%
켄 팩스턴 60%
존 코닌 41%
던 버킹엄 <1%
베스 반 두인 <1%
$15,409,169 거래량
$15,409,169 거래량
켄 팩스턴
60%
존 코닌
41%
던 버킹엄
<1%
베스 반 두인
<1%
웨슬리 헌트
<1%
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus favors Attorney General Ken Paxton at 59.5% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn's 40.5%, driven by Paxton's consistent edge in the RealClearPolling average (44.7%-41.3% through mid-April) among likely voters, reflecting stronger support from MAGA Republicans, evangelicals, and non-college voters. Recent polls show tightening, with independent co/efficient (April 11-14) giving Cornyn a slim 44%-43% lead, bolstered by his fourfold Q1 fundraising advantage ($9 million raised vs. Paxton's $2.2 million). Paxton's higher voter enthusiasm persists, while a potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard. Other candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt hold negligible odds after failing to advance from the March 3 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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