Justin Pearson leads the TN-09 Democratic primary market as the frontrunner following incumbent Steve Cohen’s mid-May withdrawal, which followed Republican-led redistricting that split the Memphis-centered district and altered its composition. Pearson, a state representative who gained national visibility from his 2023 legislative protest and prior primary challenge to Cohen, has consolidated support through fundraising and endorsements in the now-open race. DeVante Hill, a community activist, holds a smaller share amid competition from other entrants including state Senator London Lamar. Cohen remains listed despite retiring after two decades in Congress. The August 6 primary will determine the nominee under the revised map, with trader pricing reflecting Pearson’s established profile and the field’s fragmentation.