Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of former policy director Micah Lasher, a rare primary intervention, has solidified his position as trader consensus frontrunner at 49% implied probability in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, following prior backing from retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler and ex-Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds steady at 30% amid strong fundraising and DC 37 union support, despite attacks from an AI industry PAC, while Jack Schlossberg's 14% reflects lingering name recognition from early March polls showing him at 23-25% among likely voters. Mixed polling and recent candidate forums underscore the competitive field, with no clear polling average yet emerging.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Micah Lasher 49%
알렉스 보어스 30%
잭 슐로스버그 14%
조지 콘웨이 1.4%
$158,282 거래량
$158,282 거래량
2026.06.23
Micah Lasher
49%
알렉스 보어스
30%
잭 슐로스버그
14%
조지 콘웨이
1%
스콧 스트링거
1%
브래드 랜더
1%
리나 칸
1%
리즈 크루거
1%
줄리 메닌
1%
에릭 보처
1%
앤드루 쿠오모
<1%
카메론 캐스키
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
브래드 호일만-시갈
<1%
첼시 클린턴
<1%
신시아 닉슨
<1%
캐롤린 말로니
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
게일 브루어
<1%
Micah Lasher 49%
알렉스 보어스 30%
잭 슐로스버그 14%
조지 콘웨이 1.4%
$158,282 거래량
$158,282 거래량
2026.06.23
Micah Lasher
$5,712 거래량
49%
알렉스 보어스
$3,498 거래량
30%
잭 슐로스버그
$7,369 거래량
14%
조지 콘웨이
$1,669 거래량
1%
스콧 스트링거
$3,129 거래량
1%
브래드 랜더
$11,404 거래량
1%
리나 칸
$35,932 거래량
1%
리즈 크루거
$37,049 거래량
1%
줄리 메닌
$23,060 거래량
1%
에릭 보처
$2,089 거래량
1%
앤드루 쿠오모
$1,744 거래량
<1%
카메론 캐스키
$2,569 거래량
<1%
Keith Powers
$3,415 거래량
<1%
브래드 호일만-시갈
$4,998 거래량
<1%
첼시 클린턴
$7,373 거래량
<1%
신시아 닉슨
$2,138 거래량
<1%
캐롤린 말로니
$2,060 거래량
<1%
Liam Elkind
$1,624 거래량
<1%
게일 브루어
$1,448 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of former policy director Micah Lasher, a rare primary intervention, has solidified his position as trader consensus frontrunner at 49% implied probability in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, following prior backing from retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler and ex-Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds steady at 30% amid strong fundraising and DC 37 union support, despite attacks from an AI industry PAC, while Jack Schlossberg's 14% reflects lingering name recognition from early March polls showing him at 23-25% among likely voters. Mixed polling and recent candidate forums underscore the competitive field, with no clear polling average yet emerging.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
거래량
$158,282종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of former policy director Micah Lasher, a rare primary intervention, has solidified his position as trader consensus frontrunner at 49% implied probability in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, following prior backing from retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler and ex-Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds steady at 30% amid strong fundraising and DC 37 union support, despite attacks from an AI industry PAC, while Jack Schlossberg's 14% reflects lingering name recognition from early March polls showing him at 23-25% among likely voters. Mixed polling and recent candidate forums underscore the competitive field, with no clear polling average yet emerging.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$158,282종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of former policy director Micah Lasher, a rare primary intervention, has solidified his position as trader consensus frontrunner at 49% implied probability in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, following prior backing from retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler and ex-Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds steady at 30% amid strong fundraising and DC 37 union support, despite attacks from an AI industry PAC, while Jack Schlossberg's 14% reflects lingering name recognition from early March polls showing him at 23-25% among likely voters. Mixed polling and recent candidate forums underscore the competitive field, with no clear polling average yet emerging.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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