Rep. Kevin Hern's 92.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from swift party consolidation following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March nomination as DHS Secretary, vacating the seat for a special 2026 contest. Hern announced his bid on March 11, securing President Trump's endorsement two days later—which cleared the field as Gov. Kevin Stitt and others demurred—plus backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott. His $8.2 million cash-on-hand through Q1 underscores fundraising dominance. Challengers like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trail amid weak polling; realistic disruptions would require a late high-profile rival with counter-endorsements, scandal, or turnout surge in the June primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트케빈 헌 92%
맷 피넬 2.1%
스테퍼니 바이스 1.9%
웨인 로니 워싱턴 1.6%
$56,642 거래량
$56,642 거래량
2026.06.16
케빈 헌
92%
맷 피넬
2%
스테퍼니 바이스
2%
웨인 로니 워싱턴
2%
닉 행킨스
1%
론 마인하트
1%
마크웨인 멀린
1%
도넬 하더
<1%
존 M. 오코너
<1%
태미 스웨어엔진
<1%
케빈 헌 92%
맷 피넬 2.1%
스테퍼니 바이스 1.9%
웨인 로니 워싱턴 1.6%
$56,642 거래량
$56,642 거래량
2026.06.16
케빈 헌
$10,919 거래량
92%
맷 피넬
$746 거래량
2%
스테퍼니 바이스
$2,176 거래량
2%
웨인 로니 워싱턴
$1,011 거래량
2%
닉 행킨스
$731 거래량
1%
론 마인하트
$1,074 거래량
1%
마크웨인 멀린
$37,761 거래량
1%
도넬 하더
$752 거래량
<1%
존 M. 오코너
$714 거래량
<1%
태미 스웨어엔진
$777 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern's 92.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from swift party consolidation following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March nomination as DHS Secretary, vacating the seat for a special 2026 contest. Hern announced his bid on March 11, securing President Trump's endorsement two days later—which cleared the field as Gov. Kevin Stitt and others demurred—plus backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott. His $8.2 million cash-on-hand through Q1 underscores fundraising dominance. Challengers like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trail amid weak polling; realistic disruptions would require a late high-profile rival with counter-endorsements, scandal, or turnout surge in the June primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
거래량
$56,642종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern's 92.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from swift party consolidation following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March nomination as DHS Secretary, vacating the seat for a special 2026 contest. Hern announced his bid on March 11, securing President Trump's endorsement two days later—which cleared the field as Gov. Kevin Stitt and others demurred—plus backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott. His $8.2 million cash-on-hand through Q1 underscores fundraising dominance. Challengers like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trail amid weak polling; realistic disruptions would require a late high-profile rival with counter-endorsements, scandal, or turnout surge in the June primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$56,642종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern's 92.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from swift party consolidation following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March nomination as DHS Secretary, vacating the seat for a special 2026 contest. Hern announced his bid on March 11, securing President Trump's endorsement two days later—which cleared the field as Gov. Kevin Stitt and others demurred—plus backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott. His $8.2 million cash-on-hand through Q1 underscores fundraising dominance. Challengers like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trail amid weak polling; realistic disruptions would require a late high-profile rival with counter-endorsements, scandal, or turnout surge in the June primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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