Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트아담 해밀턴 81%
크리스티 데이비스 5.6%
제이슨 하트 4.3%
샤리스 데이비즈 3.9%
$136,160 거래량
$136,160 거래량
아담 해밀턴
76%
크리스티 데이비스
6%
제이슨 하트
4%
샤리스 데이비즈
4%
노아 테일러
3%
샌디 스파이델 노이만
3%
에릭 머레이
8%
패트릭 슈미트
1%
케빈 랏츠
1%
앤 파렐카
<1%
마이클 소에타트
<1%
데이먼 앤더슨
31%
아담 해밀턴 81%
크리스티 데이비스 5.6%
제이슨 하트 4.3%
샤리스 데이비즈 3.9%
$136,160 거래량
$136,160 거래량
아담 해밀턴
76%
크리스티 데이비스
6%
제이슨 하트
4%
샤리스 데이비즈
4%
노아 테일러
3%
샌디 스파이델 노이만
3%
에릭 머레이
8%
패트릭 슈미트
1%
케빈 랏츠
1%
앤 파렐카
<1%
마이클 소에타트
<1%
데이먼 앤더슨
31%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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